NMSQT Qualifying Score CT

[oleo43]

From the National Merit Website:(https://www.nationalmerit.org/s/1758/images/gid2/editor_documents/guide_to_the_national_merit_scholarship_program.pdf?gid=2&pgid=61)(pg 9-10)

Using the most recent data available, nmsc determines an allocation of Semifinalists for each of the 50 states, based on the state’s percentage of the national total of graduating high school seniors. For example, the Semifinalist allocation for a state that enrolls approximately 2 percent of the nation’s high school graduates would be about 320 (2 percent of the 16,000 Semifinalists).

(bolding my own)

So, the amount of NM Semifinalists for each state is determined by the number of high school graduates, not test-takers.

[Happytimes2001]

So that would mean the same rough number of kids will win. Thanks for clarifying.

[Flautist2021]

they are only giving 7% of the kids the opportunity to practice for the SAT?

[Happytimes2001]

At our particular school, yes, that was the decision. At many schools none took it in October or it proceeded normally.

[Altras]

Class of 2022 National Merit Discussion - Scores Release

For what they’re worth, Art at CP has issued his predictions. His explanation of how PSAT and AE scores will be used to determine cutoffs and cohort size matches my hypothesis from above, though his 5-7 point ranges for each state aren’t very useful. Super tutor is the only other projection that I’ve seen

In case those on this thread did not see the update on a related thread…