Oscar Buzz

College Confidential Community
1

<p>For those who care about the Oscar Awards-</p>

<p>How does a film get nominated for Best Picture? Do you find the nominations and wins easily predictable? Do the criteria simply consist of plot, acting, directing, cinematography, and screenplay? If so, do you believe last year’s winners truly represent the best of 2004?</p>

<p>More importantly, which films do you predict will be nominated for Best Picture in 2006? Who (which) will win?</p>

<p>According to this one source, <a href=“http://www.theoscarigloo.com/Picture.html[/url]”>http://www.theoscarigloo.com/Picture.html</a> , the top contenders, tentatively, are:</p>

<li>Brokeback Mountain (7 Golden Globe nominations)</li>
</ol>

<p>[Boston Society of Film Critics Awards: Best Director, Best Picture
Los Angeles Film Critics Association Awards: Best Director, Best Picture
National Board of Review: Best Director, Best Supporting Actor
New York Film Critics Circle: Best Actor, Best Director, Best Film
Satellite Awards: Oustanding Film, Outstanding Film Editing, Outstanding Motion Picture-Drama, Outstanding Original Song
Southeastern Film Critics: Best Director, Best Picture, Best Screenplay-Adapted
Venice Film Festival: Golden Lion (Overall Winner)]</p>

<li>Walk the Line (3)</li>
</ol>

<p>[Boston Film Critics: Best Actress
New York Film Critics: Best Actress
Satellite Awards: Oustanding Actress–Motion Picture (Comedy/Musical); Oustanding Motion Picture (Comedy/Musical)</p>

<li><p>Good Night, and Good Luck (4)
[Boston Film Critics: Best Cinematography
Los Angeles Film Critics: Best Cinematography
National Board of Review: Best Picture
Satellite: Outstanding Art Direction & Production Design
Venice Film Festival: Pasinetti Award]</p></li>
<li><p>Munich (2)
[None so far, except 2 Golden Globe nominations]</p></li>
<li><p>King Kong (3)
[National Board of Review: Special Achievement Award
Toronto Film Critics: Special Citation]</p></li>
</ol>

<p>Also:
Match Point (4)
A History of Violence (2)
The Constant Gardener (3)
The Squid and the Whale (3)
Cinderella Man (2)
Crash (2)</p>

<p>Capote (1) << I’m surprised this isn’t up there</p>

<p>[Boston Society of Film Critics: Best Actor, Best Screenplay, Best Supporting Actress
Gotham Awards: Best Film
Los Angeles Film Critics: Best Actor, Best Screenplay, Best Supporting Actress
National Board of Review: Best Actor
Satellite Awards: Oustanding Actor- Motion Picture (Drama)
Southeastern Film Critics: Best Actor
Toronto Film Critics: Best Performance (Male), Best Supporting Performance (Female)]</p>

<p>Memoirs of a Geisha (2)
Three Burials of Melquiades Estrada (0)
The Producers (4)
Pride & Prejudice (2)
Mrs. Henderson Presents (3)
Syriana (2)
The New World (0)</p>

2

<p>Btw, out of these movies, I've seen only Brokeback Mountain and Capote. You don't have to have seen all the movies in order to post predictions. Wild guesses are acceptable, but I prefer that you have at least some basis for judgment (i.e, if you've seen one or two of the movies).</p>

<p>My predictions, as of 12/26/05:
Best Picture: Brokeback Mountain
Best Actor: Philip Seymour Hoffman (Capote). Heath Ledger (Brokeback Mountain) is a close second.</p>

3

<p>We have 3 months to arrive at a consensus. Let's get to work, people!</p>

4

<p>*reach a consensus</p>

<p>Anyway, here's the updated list of awards:</p>

<ol>
<li>Brokeback Mountain (7 Golden Globe nominations)</li>
</ol>

<p>[Boston Society of Film Critics Awards: Best Director, Best Picture
Los Angeles Film Critics Association Awards: Best Director, Best Picture
National Board of Review: Best Director, Best Supporting Actor
New York Film Critics Circle: Best Actor (Heath Ledger), Best Director, Best Film
Satellite Awards: Oustanding Film, Outstanding Film Editing, Outstanding Motion Picture-Drama, Outstanding Original Song
Southeastern Film Critics: Best Director, Best Picture, Best Screenplay-Adapted
Venice Film Festival: Golden Lion (Overall Winner)]</p>

<p>UPDATE:
Dallas-Forth Worth Film Critics: Best Cinematography, Best Director, Best Picture, Best Screenplay
San Francisco Film Critics: Best Actor, Best Director, Best Picture
Critics' Choice Awards (1/9/06): Best Supporting Actress, Best Director, Best Picture</p>

<hr>

<ol>
<li>Walk the Line (3)</li>
</ol>

<p>[Boston Film Critics: Best Actress
New York Film Critics: Best Actress
Satellite Awards: Oustanding Actress--Motion Picture (Comedy/Musical); Oustanding Motion Picture (Comedy/Musical)]</p>

<p>UPDATE:
San Francisco Film Critics: Best Actress
Critics' Choice Awards: Best Actress</p>

<hr>

<ol>
<li>Good Night, and Good Luck (4)</li>
</ol>

<p>[Boston Film Critics: Best Cinematography
Los Angeles Film Critics: Best Cinematography
National Board of Review: Best Picture
Satellite: Outstanding Art Direction & Production Design, Outstanding Achievement Award (George Clooney)
Venice Film Festival: Pasinetti Award (Best Film), Best Screenplay, Competition (George Clooney), Human Rights Film Network Award- Special Mention, Best Actor]</p>

<p>UPDATE:
San Francisco Film Critics: Best Screenplay
Critics' Choice Awards: George Clooney- Special Award</p>

<hr>

<ol>
<li><p>Munich (2)
[None so far, except 2 Golden Globe nominations]</p>

<hr></li>
<li><p>King Kong (3)
[National Board of Review: Special Achievement Award
Toronto Film Critics: Special Citation]</p>

<hr></li>
</ol>

<p>Also:
Match Point (4)
A History of Violence (2)
The Constant Gardener (3)
The Squid and the Whale (3)
Cinderella Man (2)
Crash (2)</p>

<hr>

<p>Capote (1) << I'm surprised this isn't up there</p>

<p>[Boston Society of Film Critics: Best Actor, Best Screenplay, Best Supporting Actress
Gotham Awards: Best Film
Los Angeles Film Critics: Best Actor, Best Screenplay, Best Supporting Actress
National Board of Review: Best Actor
Satellite Awards: Oustanding Actor- Motion Picture (Drama)
**Southeastern Film Critics: Best Actor
Toronto Film Critics: Best Performance (Male), Best Supporting Performance (Female)]</p>

<p>UPDATE:
Dallast-Forth Worth Film Critics: Best Actor, Best Supporting Actress
Critics' Choice: Best Actor</p>

<hr>

<p>Memoirs of a Geisha (2)
Three Burials of Melquiades Estrada (0)
The Producers (4)
Pride & Prejudice (2)
Mrs. Henderson Presents (3)
Syriana (2)
The New World (0)</p>

5

<p>My Oscar predictions, as of 1/9/06 (tentative):</p>

<p>Best Picture: Brokeback Mountain
Best Director: Ang Lee (Brokeback Mountain)
Best Actor: Philip Seymour Hoffman (Capote)
Best Actress: Reese Witherspoon (Walk the Line)</p>

6

<p>eh most of these movies suck in my opinion. the only good ones were chronicles of narnia, king kong and cinderella man.
memories of a geisha was a huge bore.</p>

7

<p>Meh, I've lost any faith in the Oscars as any sort of barometer of a film's quality...I've found it's best to look at what individual critics and film associations nominate, rather than the Academy, which is biased heavily towards "Hollywood" productions.</p>

<p>Syriana; Capote; Munich; and Good Night, and Good Luck were the only truly excellent films this year.</p>

8

<p>the three movies i think deserve to win are walk the line, brokeback moutain and crash. </p>

<p>crash was out of control. did anyone else see it?</p>

9

<p>Crash is really overrated. People need to stop calling this movie great--which it would've been had it been an hour longer. But fitting all of those stories into 100 minutes turned every character into a one-dimensional stereotype.</p>

10

<p>The Oscar Igloo has adjusted its list of predicted Oscar nominees:</p>

<p>As of January 10, 2004 (tentative)</p>

<p>BEST PICTURE
1. Brokeback Mountain
2. Good Night, and Good Luck
3. Crash
4. Capote
5. Walk the Line</p>

<p>Runners-up:
Munich
A History of Violence
The Constant Gardener
The Squid & The Whale</p>

<hr>

<p>BEST DIRECTOR
1. Ang Lee- Brokeback Mountain
2. George Clooney- Good Night, and Good Luck
3. Paul Haggis- Crash
4. Bennett Miller- Capote
5. Steven Spielberg- Munich</p>

<p>Runners-up:
James Mangold- Walk the Line
Fernando Meirelles- The Constant Gardener
David Cronenberg- A History of Violence</p>

<hr>

<p>BEST ACTOR:
1. Philip Seymour Hoffman- Capote
2. Heath Ledger- Brokeback Mountain
3. Joaquin Phoenix- Walk the Line
4. David Strathairn- Good Night, and Good Luck
5. Russell Crowe- Cinderella Man</p>

<p>Runners-up:
Terrence Howard- Hustle & Flow
Jeff Daniels- The Squid & The Whale</p>

<hr>

<p>BEST ACTRESS
1. Reese Witherspoon- Walk the Line
2. Felicity Huffman- Transamerica
3. Judi Dench- Mrs. Henderson Presents
4. Charlize Theron- North Country
5. Keira Knightley- Pride & Prejudice</p>

<p>Runners-up:
Ziyi Zhang- Memoirs of a Geisha
Laura Linney- The Squid & The Whale</p>

<hr>

<p>BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
1. Paul Giamatti- Cinderella Man
2. George Clooney- Syriana
3. Matt Dillon- Crash
4. Jake Gyllenhaal- Brokeback Mountain
5. Bob Hoskins- Mrs. Henderson Presents</p>

<p>Runners-up:
Don Cheadle- Crash
William Hurt- A History of Violence
Terrence Howard- Crash</p>

<hr>

<p>BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
1. Michelle Williams- Brokeback Mountain
2. Rachel Weisz- The Constant Gardener
3. Catherine Keener- Capote
4. Frances McDormand- North Country
5. Amy Adams- Junebug</p>

<p>Runners-up:
Maria Bello- A History of Violence
Scarlett Johansson- Match Point
Diane Keaton- The Family Stone</p>

<hr>

<p>BEST SCREENPLAY- ORIGINAL
1. Crash
2. Good Night, and Good Luck
3. The Squid & The Whale
4. Cinderella Man
5. The 40-Year-Old Virgin</p>

<p>Runner-up:
Match Point</p>

<hr>

<p>BEST SCREENPLAY- ADAPTED
1. Brokeback Mountain
2. Capote
3. Syriana
4. A History of Violence
5. The Constant Gardener</p>

<p>Runners-up:
Munich
Walk the Line</p>

11

<p>I hope that "Howl's Moving Castle" wins "Best Animated Film".</p>

12

<p>Come on people.......how about cinderella man? </p>

<p>I thought that was an amazing movie..........</p>

13

<p>My mother is rooting for Cinderella Man, even though she hasn't seen the film yet. hah. We'll see about that.</p>

<p>Btw, I just noticed that I typed 2004 in post #10. of course, I meant 2006!</p>

14

<p>BrokeBack Mountain won't win. If you take away the gayness, it's just a cliche romance. Yeah, maybe well made. But not 'best picture' material.</p>

<p>and, the oscars will get too controversial if it wins.</p>

15

<p>I've only seen King kong and that I dont think that is 'best picture' material..
All the movies up there are not the kind of the movies I watch.. I might watch Walk the line and maybe Brokeback mountain for Heath Ledger <3</p>

16

<p>IMO crash has been the best movie this year. too bad it won't win anything.</p>

17

<p>I don't know yet which movie I want to win. I have yet to watch most of the movies. But among critics' top picks, a clear pattern is emerging.</p>

<p>AWARDS LISTED BY *EVENT*</p>

<p>BOSTON SOCIETY OF FILM CRITICS AWARDS
Best Picture: Brokeback Mountain
Best Director: Ang Lee (Brokeback Mountain)
Best Actor: Philip Seymour Hoffman (Capote)
Best Actress: Reese Witherspoon (Walk the Line)
Best Supporting Actor: Paul Giamatti (Cinderella Man)
Best Supporting Actress: Catherine Keener (Capote)
Best Screenplay: Capote (Dan Futterman)
Best Cinematography: Good Night, and Good Luck
Best Ensemble Cast: Syriana</p>

<p>CHICAGO FILM CRITICS ASSOCIATION AWARDS
Best Picture: Crash
Best Director: David Cronenberg (A History of Violence)
Best Actor: Philip Seymour Hoffman (Capote)
Best Actress: Joan Allen (The Upside of Anger)
Best Supporting Actor: Mickey Rourke (Sin City)
Best Supporting Actress: Maria Bello (A History of Violence)
Best Screenplay: Crash
Best Original Score: Brokeback Mountain
Best Cinematography: Brokeback Mountain</p>

<p>BROADCAST FILM CRITICS' CHOICE AWARDS
Best Picture: Brokeback Mountain
Best Director: Ang Lee (Brokeback Mountain)
Best Actor: Philip Seymour Hoffman (Capote)
Best Actress: Reese Witherspoon (Walk the Line)
Best Supporting Actor: Paul Giamatti (Cinderella Man)
Best Supporting Actress: TIE: Michelle Williams (Brokeback Mountain) / Amy Adams (Junebug)
Best Screenplay: Crash
Best Song: Hustle & Flow
Best Soundtrack: Walk the Line
Best Composer: Memoirs of a Geisha</p>

<p>DALLAS-FORTH WORTH FILM CRITICS AWARDS
Best Picture: Brokeback Mountain
Best Director: Ang Lee (Brokeback Mountain)
Best Actor: Philip Seymour Hoffman (Capote)
Best Actress: Felicity Huffman (Transamerica)
Best Supporting Actor: Matt Dillon (Crash)
Best Supporting Actress: Catherine Keener (Capote)
Best Screenplay: Brokeback Mountain
Best Cinematography: Brokeback Mountain</p>

<p>FLORIDA FILM CRITICS CIRCLE AWARDS
Best Picture: Brokeback Mountain
Best Director: Ang Lee (Brokeback Mountain)
Best Actor: Philip Seymour Hoffman (Capote)
Best Actress: Reese Witherspoon (Walk the Line)
Best Supporting Actor: Paul Giamatti (Cinderella Man)
Best Supporting Actress: Amy Adams (Junebug)
Best Screenplay: Brokeback Mountain
Best Cinematography: Brokeback Mountain</p>

<p>IOWA FILM CRITICS AWARDS
Best Picture: Brokeback Mountain
Best Director: Ang Lee (Brokeback Mountain)
Best Actor: Philip Seymour Hoffman (Capote)
Best Actress: Joan Allen (The Upset of Anger)
Best Supporting Actor: Paul Giamatti (Cinderella Man)
Best Supporting Actress: Rachel Weisz (The Constant Gardener)</p>

<p>LAS VEGAS FILM CRITICS SOCIETY AWARDS
Best Picture: Brokeback Mountain
Best Director: Ang Lee (Brokeback Mountain)
Best Actor: Heath Ledger (Brokeback Mountain)
Best Actress: Reese Witherspoon (Walk the Line)
Best Supporting Actor: Matt Dillon (Crash)
Best Supporting Actress: Fraces McDormand (North Country)
Best Screenplay: Crash
Best Song: Transamerica
Best Score: Brokeback Mountain </p>

<p>LOS ANGELES FILM CRITICS ASSOCIATION AWARDS
Best Picture: Brokeback Mountain
Best Director: Ang Lee (Brokeback Mountain)
Best Actor: Philip Seymour Hoffman (Capote)
Best Actress: Vera Farmiga (Down to the Bone)
Best Supporting Actor: William Hurt (A History of Violence)
Best Supporting Actress: Catherine Keener (Capote)
Best Screenplay: TIE: Capote/ The Squid & The Whale
Best Cinematography: Good Night, and Good Luck
Best Music Score: Howl’s Moving Castle</p>

<p>NATIONAL BOARD OF REVIEW AWARDS
Best Picture: Good Night, and Good Luck
Best Director: Ang Lee (Brokeback Mountain)
Best Actor: Philip Seymour Hoffman (Capote)
Best Actress: Felicity Huffman (Transamerica)
Best Supporting Actor: Jake Gyllenhaal (Brokeback Mountain)
Best Supporting Actress: Gong Li (Memoirs of a Geisha)
Best Screenplay-Original: The Squid and The Whale
Best Screenplay-Adapted: Syriana
Best Acting by an Ensemble: Mrs. Henderson Presents</p>

<p>NATIONAL SOCIETY OF FILM CRITICS AWARDS
Best Picture: Capote
Best Director: David Cronenberg (A History of Violence)
Best Actor: Philip Seymour Hoffman (Capote)
Best Actress: Reese Witherspoon (Walk the Line)
Best Supporting Actor: Ed Harris (A History of Violence)
Best Supporting Actress: Amy Adams (Junebug)
Best Screenplay: The Squid & The Whale
Best Cinematography: 2046
Best Original Score:</p>

<p>NEW YORK FILM CRITICS CIRCLE AWARDS
Best Picture: Brokeback Mountain
Best Director: Ang Lee (Brokeback Mountain)
Best Actor: Heath Ledger (Brokeback Mountain)
Best Actress: Reese Witherspoon (Walk the Line)
Best Supporting Actor: William Hurt (A History of Violence)
Best Supporting Actress: Maria Bello (A History of Violence)
Best Screenplay: The Squid & The Whale
Best Cinematography: 2046</p>

<p>PHOENIX FILM CRITICS SOCIETY AWARDS
Best Picture: Cinderella Man
Best Director: George Clooney (Good Night, and Good Luck)
Best Actor: Heath Ledger (Brokeback Mountain)
Best Actress: Felicity Huffman (Transamerica)
Best Supporting Actor: Jake Gyllenhaal (Brokeback Mountain)
Best Supporting Actress: Michelle Williams (Brokeback Mountain)
Best Screenplay-Original: Crash
Best Screenplay-Adapted: Brokeback Mountain
Best Original Song: Transamerica
Best Score: Charlie and the Chocolate Factory
Best Cinematography: Brokeback Mountain</p>

<p>ST. LOUIS GATEWAY FILM CRITICS ASSOCIATION AWARDS
Best Picture: Brokeback Mountain
Best Director: Ang Lee (Brokeback Mountain)
Best Actor: Heath Ledger (Brokeback Mountain)
Best Actress: Judi Dench (Mrs. Henderson Presents)
Best Supporting Actor: George Clooney (Syriana)
Best Supporting Actress: Rachel Weisz (The Constant Gardener)
Best Screenplay: Brokeback Mountain
Best Cinematography: King Kong</p>

<p>SAN DIEGO FILM CRITICS SOCIETY AWARDS
Best Picture: King Kong
Best Director: Bennett Miller (Capote)
Best Actor: Philip Seymour Hoffman (Capote)
Best Actress: Joan Allen (The Upside of Anger)
Best Supporting Actor: Jeffrey Wright (Broken Flowers)
Best Supporting Actress: Rachel Weisz (The Constant Gardener)
Best Screenplay-Original: Kiss Kiss Bang Bang
Best Screenplay-Adapted: Capote</p>

<p>SAN FRANCISCO FILM CRITICS CIRCLE AWARDS
Best Picture: Brokeback Mountain
Best Director: Ang Lee (Brokeback Mountain)
Best Actor: Heath Ledger (Brokeback Mountain)
Best Actress: Reese Witherspoon (Walk the Line)
Best Supporting Actor: Kevin Costner (The Upside of Anger)
Best Supporting Actress: Amy Adams (Junebug)
Best Screenplay: Good Night, and Good Luck</p>

<p>SATELLITE AWARDS
Best Picture-Drama: Brokeback Mountain
Best Picture-Comedy/Musical: Walk the Line
Best Director: Ang Lee (Brokeback Mountain)
Best Actor- Drama: Philip Seymour Hoffman (Capote)
Best Actor- Comedy/Musical: Terrence Howard (Hustle & Flow)
Best Actress-Drama: Felicity Huffman (Transamerica)
Best Actress-Comedy/Musical: Reese Witherspoon (Walk the Line)
Best Supporting Actor- Drama: Danny Huston (The Constant Gardener)
Best Supporting Actor- Comedy/Musical: Val Kilmer (Kiss Kiss Bang Bang)
Best Supporting Actress- Drama: Laura Linney (The Squid & The Whale)
Best Supporting Actress- Comedy/Musical: Rosario Dawson (Rent)
Best Screenplay- Original: Good Night, and Good Luck
Best Screenplay- Adapted: Memoirs of a Geisha
Best Original Song: Brokeback Mountain
Best Original Score: Kingdom of Heaven
Best Cinematography: The Constant Gardener</p>

<p>SOUTHEAST FILM CRITICS AWARDS
Best Picture: Brokeback Mountain
Best Director: Ang Lee (Brokeback Mountain)
Best Actor: Philip Seymour Hoffman (Capote)
Best Actress: Felicity Huffman (Transamerica)
Best Supporting Actor: Paul Giamatti (Cinderella Man)
Best Supporting Actress: Amy Adams (Junebug)
Best Screenplay- Original: Crash
Best Screenplay- Adapted: Brokeback Mountain</p>

<p>UTAH FILM CRITICS SOCIETY AWARDS
Best Picture: Brokeback Mountain
Best Director: Ang Lee (Brokeback Mountain)
Best Actor: Philip Seymour Hoffman (Capote)
Best Actress: Reese Witherspoon (Walk the Line)
Best Supporting Actor: Andy Serkis (King Kong)
Best Supporting Actress: Rachel Weisz (The Constant Gardener)
Best Screenplay: TIE: Kiss Kiss Bang Bang / Me and You and Everyone We Know</p>

<p>WASHINGTON, D.C. AREA FILM CRITICS AWARDS
Best Picture: Munich
Best Director: Steven Spielberg (Munich)
Best Actor: Philip Seymour Hoffman (Capote)
Best Actress: Reese Witherspoon (Walk the Line)
Best Supporting Actor: Paul Giamatti (Cinderella Man)
Best Supporting Actress: Amy Adams (Junebug)
Best Screenplay-Original: Crash
Best Screenplay-Adapted: Capote
Best Art Direction: The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, The Witch, and the Wardrobe</p>

18

<p>I really wanted to see Brokeback Mountain, but in some states (ie Big Mormon Arizona) it's harder to find.</p>

<p>and I get the feeling The Constant Gardener will do well.</p>