No idea how anyone can predict a holistic admit when all OP has given is a slice of stats. You’ve got to know thats only a wee part.
And the fact some top scorers get rejected isn’t what’s forming their goals for this kid. If only 5% get in, they expect OP to be one of those. That’s the problem in applying yo a variety. They want what they want, which is schools they feel are tops. Not something realistic.