<p><em>Okay let's go even lower and say SEAS will take 42% of the Class of 2013 from Early apps, then: 39.76% Accepted
*</em>A really optimistic scenario involves SEAS filling 59% of its class with ED applicants as was the case for Penn as a whole last year. Then the acceptance rate would be 55.87%!!</p>
<p>EDIT: Just noticed that Dean Furda mentioned they would be filling roughly 48% of the incoming class with ED. So that gives us a 45.45% acceptance rate.</p>
<p>If they fill 48% of the Wharton Class of 2013 with ED apps, you're looking at a 22.94% acceptance rate. However, this not account for the Questbridge program, which may reduce that number even further. I didn't account for Questbridge in the calculations for SEAS b/c I made the assumption that the impact would be negligible (if you assume that the 12% statistic holds for the QB people, then only about 26 extra applicants get put into the mix and I'm sure QB acceptance rates are much lower anyway; thus, the SEAS admit rate need not account for QB).</p>
<p>Awesome. I suppose the calculation assumes that the 48% figure will be uniform between all the schools, but I can't imagine the distribution being particularly disproportionate.</p>
<p>^^^I took the possibility of SEAS filling a smaller portion of its entering class from ED than the rest of the school into account by offering the acceptance rate assuming the fill only 42% of the class with ED (~40% acceptance). I have nothing to go on, but I'm willing to bet that 42% would fall a cosy 1.5-2+ standard deviations away from the mean of 48% across all schools, which would make it statistically improbable. Regardless, I think we can expect anywhere between a 43% and a 47% (hey, they could fill even more than 48% of the class early, statistically speaking!) ED acceptance rate.</p>
<p>^Possibly...I just hope the competition isn't too tough. It sounds like a candidate who is eventually accepted has to beat out 1 to 2 other applicants in the process. So, some of this is just pure luck (i.e. who you get compared to).</p>
<p>ED in general is self-selective. people who think they can get into Penn apply ED. and SEAS is self-selective as well. people apply to SEAS because they know they have the math/science creds. so SEAS ED is double self-selective....don't let a 40% accept rate fool you</p>
<p>choklitrain you have a pretty good point there. you guys also have to take in account for legacies and athletes. but a 40% acceptance rate is still a 40% acceptance rate. i'd rather have that 40% rate than the 15% ED rate for MIT. plus, there's a smaller applicant pool so u'll be compared to less people</p>
<p>No way, it’s that high? I was thinking about applying to UPenn ED but JHU also caught my eye…I was tempted to go with JHU because their ED acceptance rate was around 40% and i figured it was better than the 30% for UPenn but this just changed my mind</p>