Percent deferred then accepted

<p>Out of curiosity, does anyone know the statistics for being accepted/deferred/rejected for SCEA, and of those deferred, being accepted RD?</p>

1 Like

<p>[Yale</a> University Admissions 2009](<a href=“http://ivysuccess.com/yale_2009.html]Yale”>http://ivysuccess.com/yale_2009.html)
“Early Action
Yale saw its early pool rise from 16.6 percent for the Class of 2008 to 17.9 percent for the Class of 2009. Yale’s early pool saw a 2.8 percent decrease in applications, but Yale accepted 704 students out of a total early applicant pool of 3,933 students, a 1.3 percent increase from last year when Yale admitted 670 of its 4,046 early applicants. The admissions office denied 1,312 applicants or 33 percent and deferred 47 percent, similar to previous years.”
If a reliable source haha</p>

1 Like

<p>Madshock, that’s not what GG123 is asking. He’s asking how many people who were deferred during Early Action were then accepted during the RD round.</p>

<p>It doesn’t say on their CDS… I suspect they don’t publish this info, though if they do I’d sure be interested in knowing the stats!</p>

<p>

</p>

<p>Yale accepts about 730 SCEA-round applicants in the past two years. Once you know the total number of SCEA applicants (probably published this week in the YDN) you can project acceptance rate from there. Previous two years’ acceptance rates have been about 14%, deferrals at about 50%, and rejections at about 35%.</p>

<p>[Early</a> admit rate rises slightly | Yale Daily News](<a href=“http://www.yaledailynews.com/news/2009/dec/15/early-admit-rate-rises-slightly/]Early”>http://www.yaledailynews.com/news/2009/dec/15/early-admit-rate-rises-slightly/)</p>

<p>

</p>

<p>This figure is hard to come by. I have not seen a recent “official” number in this regard. The best evidence we can have, it seems, is anecdotal.</p>

<p>Previous CC posts referring to RD success of EA deferred applicants:</p>

<p><a href=“http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/5070899-post4.html[/url]”>http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/5070899-post4.html&lt;/a&gt;
<a href=“http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/5071820-post8.html[/url]”>http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/5071820-post8.html&lt;/a&gt;
<a href=“http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/5072514-post10.html[/url]”>http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/5072514-post10.html&lt;/a&gt;
<a href=“http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/yale-university/277932-accepted-after-deferral.html?highlight=deferral+letter#post3355503[/url]”>http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/yale-university/277932-accepted-after-deferral.html?highlight=deferral+letter#post3355503&lt;/a&gt;
<a href=“http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/559114-post27.html[/url]”>http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/559114-post27.html&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

<p>Most of these statistics appear to come out of the deferral letter sent by Yale, although a newspaper article is cited in one case.</p>

<p>Tracking self-reported SCEA applicants on CC last year I have found about 7% of the deferred are later accepted (with lots of room for statistical uncertainty). Based on this and other references, my best guess is that SCEA deferreds end up with a slightly higher success rate than the rest of the RD pool, which has been about 5-6%. I think the Yale admissions office will tell you the same thing.</p>

<p>BTW, yields for SCEA admits have been about 80% (I haven’t seen a figure from last year, however), vis-a-vis about 60% for RD admits, so the group remains a committed bunch even though Harvard and Princeton have ended their own early programs (when these competing early programs were available SCEA yields were about 88%).</p>

<p>He’s a statistics maniac!</p>

<p>Thanks for the stats Descartesz!</p>

<p>I was just trying to respond to the SCEA stats question, not the RD chances for SCEA deferences.
I would’ve thought more than 7% of deferred applicants would get in, since they’re usually some of the better students of the SCEA… :(</p>

<p>Thanks D!
10 char</p>

<p>so basically you have a 35% chance of rejection by applying early. and a 94% chance of rejection by applying regular?</p>

<p>

</p>

<p>Well about half of the SCEA applicants are deferred</p>

<p>

</p>

<p>Yes indeed, our local admissions officer did say that the SCEA deferred students have a slightly higher acceptance rate than the RD applicants.</p>

<p>What matters most is that in my family the success rate for SCEA deferred applicants was 100% ;)</p>

1 Like

<p>Which means that, on the whole, there is about a 18.5% acceptance rate, through both rounds of admissions, for SCEA candidates. It’s not the worst thing in the world.</p>

<p>^^ More like 17.4%, but that’s still very promising.</p>

<p>

</p>

<p>If you count waitlisting as rejection, the chances of any randomly selected SCEA application being rejected eventually (either during the SCEA or RD rounds) is about 82%. The chance for any randomly selected application out of the RD pool is about 94%. The chance *your particular *application has of rejection is unknown and might not be different between SCEA and RD. SCEA rates are higher, so they say, because overall pool quality is better. It could very well be that your application is no more likely to fare better in one pool than the other.</p>

<p>As a whole, CC is definitely a population with a large upwards skew. My question is something along the lines of “the average CCer is in what percentile of the those applying SCEA?” and what effect would that have on the stats based off of CC?</p>

1 Like

<p>Hi. I was deferred from Princeton SCEA. I have a strong CV. However, a weak ACT. How probable am I to be accepted during the RD process ? </p>

<p>@Abhi27nav: did you read any of the previous 15 posts? This thread refers to people who applied SCEA to Yale and then deferred. Who knows your chances? </p>

<p>Come 16 days, you will know absolutely; so why are you asking random uninformed strangers to guess at your situation? </p>

<p>I’m sorry ! I thought it was universal. My bad.</p>