<p>I applied for ED at Smith, and I am nervous about the results next week. I visited the college several times and loved it! I really, really want to be admitted. What are my odds?</p>
<p>Academic record:</p>
<p>3.8 GPA (unweighted) at good public high school in the Northeast.</p>
<p>Top 10% class rank.</p>
<p>NHS</p>
<p>Academic classes include multiple AP and honors courses.</p>
<p>Strong recommendations from two AP class teachers who both gave me A's.</p>
<p>SAT: </p>
<p>630 Reading
650 Writing
710 Math</p>
<p>Activities: </p>
<p>Marching band president, 2nd chair flute player in school symphonic band, state honors band, and member of a wind ensemble at a local college.</p>
<p>I think your chances are reasonably good. To my eye, as stated your profile is another which is neither in the top nor at the bottom of the application pool. But I think it more likely than not that you will get in, especially ED; I like your class rank.</p>
<p>Thanks for your reply. I appreciate your honest assessment. I did just receive my first quarter grades, with A’s in both AP Calculus and AP English, but I don’t know how important that is. However, I’ll try not to get my hopes up so I won’t be disappointed if it doesn’t happen.</p>
<p>I was wondering why you think it would be more likely to get in for ED? If you apply and don’t get admitted in ED, are you less likely to be admitted next spring?</p>
<p>The ED acceptance rate is a bit higher, but usually because only very interested people apply ED and those people tend to also be the ones that are generally pretty qualified to apply to Smith anyway, so a larger percentage of the applicants that apply are accepted. If you aren’t admitted ED they roll you over to RD and re-consider you for the spring. I don’t know if it means you’re less likely to be accepted, usually it means they have some concern over your application (typically grades), but they think there’s something there and they want to see more or evaluate you for longer before making a final decision. </p>
<p>I think your profile looks good (it’s really hard to chance people unless their profile is the absolute highest (like speaks Mandarin with a 4.5 GPA) or the lowest, so don’t take this or TD’s statement as a discouragement. You look like what Smith is generally looking for based on what you told us, so I think you have a good chance.</p>
<p>If you think about it, it’s easy to Chance some students, one way or the other. It’s the broad middle 50 percent where it’s dicey for amateurs like us, operating with incomplete information, have problems. I think you’re in the “more likely than not” but wouldn’t want to put a number on it beyond that.</p>
<p>The longer you’ve watched admissions, the more things you see that surprise you and the more you’re cautious about what you don’t know that you don’t know.</p>
<p>It’s also true that it’s easier to get a feel for someone who has made 30 posts and you’ve somewhat “gotten to know”…yeah, it’s an illusion…as opposed to looking at a profile cold. On the plus side, coming in cold you don’t have any positive or negative impressions coloring the views.</p>