Please help! Chances of me getting into Richmond!

<p>Richmond is my first choice college and I plan to apply as soon as Early Decision is available. Plan to walk on to football team if I don't receive a scholarship. Also going to try to interview with admission counselor and go to Richmond's prospect camp.
High School
unweighted gpa: 3.37
weighted gpa: 3.71 (junior year was a 4.5 but had rough home life in first 2 years)
SAT: 1980
ACT: 29
Honor roll student every year. Go to a high quality public school in NC.
EC's:
varsity football, track, and golf
leadership positions: in DECA and theater teacher promoted me to become a assistant teacher of the class I was taking because of my leadership skills.
Active member of KEY club (volunteering), World Cultures club, FFA.
Football: team made quarterfinals of top level bracket. First team all conference. Award for hardest worker.
Golf: Made state championships every year and all conference selection. Captain of team, and award for hardest worker.
I have been working for a long time on my essay and feel I can describe that my parents were divorcing and issues were causing my unusual lack of success in the classroom and try to get a recommendation from an alumni or better yet a booster. Please give an accurate chance say a percentage because this will be my 1 early decision school.</p>

<p>forgot to mention I worked a summer and fall at my moms work (UNC) during the elections as a pollster.
Also do lots of volunteering in Churches and am a assistant coach for a recreational basketball team.</p>

<p>recalculated my weighted gpa: actually its a 3.77, not much of a difference but still.</p>

<p>U Richmond ED: Reach</p>

<p>Is there a reason why NCSU/UNC-CH didn’t interest you?</p>

<p>I want to get away from the Triangle area but still being with range of it would be ideal. Also Richmond’s business school is fantastic and you think I have a better chance of getting into chapel hill? And my learning style fits the smaller schools instead of the big public schools.</p>

<p>also if don’t mind please explain why you said reach. And could you give me a percentage chance? Thank you!</p>