Preliminary chances for a junior?

<p>Duke is my dream school, and I told myself I wouldn't make one of these threads but decided I wanted an idea of where I stand. Obviously you guys can't predict my chances, but if I could get a general sense of how competitive my app will be it could prove helpful. Some of this thread may contain things that haven't happened yet, but I am pretty sure will happen (I will note these specifically). </p>

<p>GPA: 4.5 weighted, 4.0 unweighted
Rank: 1/520
SAT: 2360 (760 CR, 800 M, 800 W)
PSAT: 237 (80 CR, 80 M, 77 W)
SAT II: 800 Math II, 730 Literature (waiting on Bio-M results, will probably retake Lit and also take physics and US history)
AP scores (only from sophomore year): Calculus BC: 5 (AB subscore: 5), European History: 5, Chemistry: 4 (grr)
Current junior year AP classes: Physics B, Statistics, US History, Lang and Comp, Environmental Science. Also self-studying Biology and Physics C. I'm hoping for 5's on all of them, since I learned from AP Chem last year that I actually will have to study to get a 5 :) I also took Calculus 3 at my local CC last term and am currently taking Cultural Anthropology there.
Senior year courses: AP Art History, AP Gov and Econ, AP Lit, AP Psychology, Spanish 4, AP Spanish, Differential Equations/Linear Algebra (DE), Real Analysis (DE), Light and Heat (DE), Archaeology OR Linguistics (DE)
Awards: none really yet; I think I am set for NMSF and if I get good scores on my AP tests this year I will get National AP Scholar. I got the PE Award at my school haha...</p>

<p>Extracurriculars: </p>

<p>Clubs: Red Cross Club (founder, president), California Scholarship Federation Club (treasurer), Science Club (no officer positions, compete in Science Olympiad), Medical Club (not an officer right now, but will run for VP next year)</p>

<p>Sports: Club volleyball freshmen year (ranked 11th in CA, won award for most points earned during practice, played on sophomore team), JV volleyball freshmen year (captain, starting setter/outside, MVP, Scholar-Athlete Award), V volleyball sophomore year (starting opposite, won a pretty big tournament), will play V this year again and probably be captain and SA. Hoping to make All-League team. I also assistant coach two middle schools teams and assistant referee the girls' games at my school.</p>

<p>Volunteering: I'm a research team leader for a cancer advocacy nonprofit (part of ACS) and manage 12 college-age interns, am starting to volunteer at a local hospital and possibly a science museum, lots of other stuff through Red Cross Club and CSF </p>

<p>Work: not really much yet, just babysitting and tutoring. And I guess the volleyball referee thing.</p>

<p>Other: I do math program at UC Davis for mathematical finance, knot theory, and graph theory</p>

<p>I also have been heavily involved in genealogical research since 5th grade and have over 10,000 individuals in my family tree, have lots of experience with historical records and index them for a genealogy website</p>

<p>This summer I am applying for many different research internships and SSP</p>

<p>State: CA (Central Valley)
Race: White
Gender: Male
Income Bracket: Live with mom who makes around 30k, but unfortunately my dad makes a lot more than that :(
Hooks: none
Prospective Major: Neuroscience or Economics</p>

<p>I know duke is extremely selective but your application is absolutely stellar.</p>

<p>^ agreed.
No one has a sure shot at Duke but you’re as close as it gets. You’re ECs are awesome. Just keep on top of your grades and you should have a good chance</p>

<p>Update: got a 740 on Bio-M. Should I retake? It’s difficult because we don’t have AP Bio at our school.</p>

<p>And…my volleyball team just won a tournament! Not that it matters haha.</p>