<p>No, the methods you're using are completely wrong. Illinois' average scores went down from 2002 to 2003 and the total test taking population also went down. YOU CANNOT PREDICT CUTOFFS USING THIS INFORMATION!!! The cutoff went from 214 to 216. The semifinalist cutoffs probably have to do with the number of seniors that are graduating in that state for that year (not taking the PSAT). Can somebody find this information?</p>