@vaporeonkid, I think you have a reasonably good chance of getting an ED acceptance from Brown, Williams, Haverford or any other school that rises to the top of your list. There is certainly nothing in your profile that would argue against a positive outcome, but there’s no guarantee. Assuming you are a citizen of your country of birth, I believe you will be will be considered as part of that under-represented pool. The experience of your family’s relocation might feature positively in your profile if you present it as such.
I don’t know of any reliable source for statistics on international admissions, except the colleges themselves, and even then, the figures are often muddled by how they define internationals. The international high school that my son attended also did very well in admissions to selective mid-sized privates and LACs. Many of the students, however, had the advantage of being classified as domestic applicants because they were American expats, green card holders, or holders of dual citizenship, rather than the “nonresident aliens” listed in CDS statistics.
When identifying likelies, you will be faced with trade-offs, so it’s better to consider in advance which features are most important to you and which you’re willing to let go of – factors like the size of the school, its environment, its geographic location, its pervasive culture, its level of academic rigor. When you decide which are non-negotiable, you’ll be able to identify less selectives accordingly. Visiting will help a lot.
My son did his graduate degree at Cornell. He found the intellectual energy of both the students and the faculty compelling and will continue to benefit from the global name recognition. Southeast Asians – notably Indonesians – have a significant presence at Cornell. For my son, Cornell’s profoundly beautiful natural surroundings were a significant plus. But despite Cornell’s strengths he is glad that he chose Williams for his undergraduate education.
It’s interesting to watch the trend toward LAC recruitment at international schools. Many LACS experienced substantial increases in international applications this year (see press releases from Bates, Smith, Whitman, Williams, Grinnell, Middlebury, Union) maybe due to expanded recruitment or better information through initiatives like EducationUSA.
How this will play out is unknown at this point. Will LACs increase the number of internationals that they offer spaces to or will the upward trend in applications result in a downward trend in international acceptance rates? One way or another there will be impact.