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<p>Self-identification by the categories now used will only monitor activities of organizations according to those categories, which are both too granular and not granular enough. Right now there is but one way to monitor equal chances for Jewish people, for instance: Jewish people litigating whenever they feel, on the basis of anecdotes, that they are not getting an equal chance. If discovery of a college’s admission files during litigation reveals systematic bias (as it did in the Bakke case, and did again in later cases), then the chances can become more equal, irrespective of whether or not the ethnic group that didn’t have an equal chance is part of the federally defined categories. There was never, ever federal reporting of an “Irish” ethnic category, but Irish-Americans learned how to use the legal system and their own achievements to gain more equal chances in American society. </p>
<p>I hope you are aware that to use the federally reported statistics to check for unequal chances would require information about the college-readiness of different groups of applicants at each particular college and results of admission decisions reported as stratified by college-readiness for the different groups. But today there aren’t any colleges publishing such data in a publicly available manner. (Researchers who have investigated this issue at various colleges have usually had to promise anonymity to the colleges.) </p>
<p>Right now, the aggregate statistics published by colleges show the percentage of various self-identified groups (including the group “race/ethnicity unknown”), which allows interested applicants to calculate, from class size and percentage, about how many students they might encounter who belong to one or another self-designated group, but it tells us exactly NOTHING about equality of chances. ALL applicants of all ethnic groups have an equal chance to enroll at an open-admission college, and there are hundreds of those in the United States. Anyone who hasn’t cured cancer as a high school student might doubt his or her chances at the very most selective of colleges, but today there are no data–certainly none published by the federal government–that show college-by-college whether or not there are equal chances by ethnicity at those colleges. I am agnostic on that issue, because I just don’t have data on that issue. Maybe college X is giving all ethnic groups an equal chance, but I don’t have data to prove that. If EVERYONE self-identified an ethnic group when applying for college, we still wouldn’t know if colleges are giving an equal chance by ethnicity. </p>
<p>(I might add that if I observe that a college has, say, 10 percent of students who are “Asian,” I don’t even know if it has no Indo-Americans at all and lots of Chinese-American students, or the other way around. A Hmong student from St. Paul, Minnesota looking for students with shared experience would be better off telephoning a distant cousin from Orange County, California and asking her where to find Hmong fellow students, rather than reading the college statistics that count “Asian” students, who might include no Hmong students at all. Similarly, a black student looking for fellow students with similar life experiences really has no way of knowing from current statistics how many Afro-Caribbean students, as contrasted with antebellum-ancestry African-American or black-white biracial students, a college has. Even with all the federal reporting, students pretty much have to deal with a lot of uncertainty and say, “I’ll simply have to be adaptable and learn to get along with lots of new kinds of people at college,” because federal categories don’t show students much detail about “their” ethnic group.)</p>