Record-Breaking UCLA 2018 Applications! Thoughts and Predictions?

Ucla is on the rise! Congrats new bruins!

Could we end up with an unexpected/unplanned for cross-admit result between UCLA and UCB? I wonder where the extra in state applicants came from this year, and in particular if they are disproportionately from the top of the applicant pool (i.e. potential Cal cross admits).

At our NorCal public school, this year many more of the top applicants have stated their interest in UCLA and intention to choose it over Cal. In the past 10 years about twice as many applied to UCB as UCLA and twice as many got in, with a similar (50%) rate of enrollment at each of the two amongst accepted students. This year there are already many more kids admitted and more who’ve announced they are going to UCLA (in one evening) than went in total last year, even before the UCB results come out. Kids just don’t seem to like the drama that’s been associated with Berkeley in the last couple of years.

Granted this is anecdotal but if there really is a significant shift in cross admit share (which has favored UCB in the past) then that could lead to a serious miscalculation of the enrollment rate. That’s worrying given that UCLA seems to have made the same number of offers as last year. For example, if perhaps 5000 of the ~9000 in state admitted students are also admitted to UCB and the cross admit rate goes from (guess) 50% UCB/35% UCLA/15% other to 42.5% UCB/42.5% UCLA/15% other, then that would mean an extra 375 unexpected enrollees at UCLA, with knock-on effects on housing, class sizes, etc. Maybe the waitlist can buffer the impact, but at the very least it wouldn’t surprise me if very few get into UCLA off the waitlist this year, and it’s not inconceivable for a repeat of the UCI miscalculation to occur.

@KTJordan78, the acceptance/rejection letter from UCLA says " UCLA received over 113,000 applications for admission to our freshman class for an entering class of just under 6,000 students". I dont understand how that correlates to UCLA Admissions Twitter message: “16,000+” accepted out of “over 113,000” applicants = 14% acceptance rate for UCLA c/o 2022." Transfer admissions are not in yet. So has UCLA accepted 10,000 kids more than available space?

Yes. They are expecting a yield of about 1/3

@lbalacha The entering class is not the amount of accepted students. So they accept more than they want for a freshman class

@lbalacha

Freshman data - last two years from the UCLA website.

As I noted back in March, I’ve seen a big shift in the choices being made between Berkeley and UCLA at our school. This year looks like 7 or 8 are going to UCLA (70-80% yield) vs 3 going to Berkeley (50% yield), last year it was 6 to 3 in favor of Berkeley (both with 50% yield).

Anyone else have any anecdotal in-state results to share? I’ll be very interested to see how the UCLA yield comes out this year, but am nervous about the housing implications if there is a very meaningful shift in yield.

At my daughters large high school in the East Bay the top 7 ranked kids in her class of 630 are going to UCLA. Choosing it over Berkeley and Cornell. Most got into both schools. My daughter included and it’s UCLA for her. I think the appeal of academics, sports and social life is a big draw and being close to Berkeley they have all been there and don’t like the craziness of it.

Two years ago, my son was accepted to both UCLA and Berkeley. Without hesitation he chose UCLA.

I remember considering UCB briefly when I was applying for colleges. However, I heard a lot of bad things about it like protesting and stuff, so I decided against it. I did hear it was the most selective UC though. However, I was applying to colleges that were going to be a good fit for me rather than have the highest ranking. So I instead applied to UCLA after falling in love with their campus and considering other factors. I got accepted and will be attended this fall!

Congrats! I don’t think it is a very valid concern, but it seems a lot of people have been turned off my the political activity at Berkeley as of late and are instead turning to UCLA.

Political activity is nothing new to UCB, been happening since at least the 1960’s.

And no one at UCB ever got Tasered unlike at some places…

Yeah, from the videos they got beat down by the police and national guard instead. Those 60s protests were wild.

Many were/are external instigators like the current Antifa.

Having attended both institutions, I can attest that both are great institutions and for me they are both very selective and prestigious… both are much better than U$C

@Dagoberto see my comment, post #2, in the UCLA 14.2% acceptance rate forum.