rising senior; What are my chances at top tier schools/ ivies?

thank you so much for the feedback- it is very helpful!! I have a big swim meet in 2 weeks where I am hoping to drop some time and hopefully get on the D1 coaches radar. You are right about Yale, they can’t recruit very many people so it is an outstandingly competitive process. Harvard might be able to boost your application in admissions even if you are not being recruited (to be a walk on in fall). I’m not totally sure yet, I have to meet with the coach. Also my class size is around 300, so that calculation is accurate.