rising senior; What are my chances at top tier schools/ ivies?

Thank you so much for the help! All of this information is really great for me. Chicago is such a great city, I am feeling really lucky that I have the opportunity to even consider it as a school I can go to. If I am not being actively recruited by any other schools by the end of September, I will probably end up there. However, I am still very much interested in Yale and Harvard as a swimming recruit and will see where I stand once the recruiting process becomes a little more clear at those schools. As far as Duke, I visited the campus and wasn’t crazy about it-wasn’t really for me. But I know it is an amazing school.