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It’s a powerful tool, but you need to consider its limitations. The estimate is based on an average acceptance rate over a large number of applicants. That average acceptance rate may be quite accurate, even if the estimate for certain individuals is not. For example, applicants who have test scores like the original poster probably usually have great LORs and essays. If the OP has much worse LORs and essays than typical for his stats, then he may have much worse odds than predicted by Parchment at colleges than emphasize LORs and essays. One can get some clues about which colleges focuses on such qualities by looking at how closely the acceptance decisions at Parchment members follow stats and other criteria on Parchment. For example, acceptances decisions closely follow stats at Vanderbilt, but they do not at Cornell. Instead test scores appear to not have a great impat on chance of admission at Cornell once reaching a threshold that is far below what most on CC would consider to be competitive for an ivy. This suggests that even though Cornell and Vanderbilt have similar overall acceptance rates, different applicants will have very different odds of admission at the two schools. The weak LOR/essay candidate described earlier would probably have a much better odds at Vanderbilt, and someone whose weakest portion of the application was test scores would probably have much better odds at Cornell.</p>
<p>Unless I missed something, the OP only posted his test scores and number of AP classes – no grades, no out of classroom activities, no financial information, etc. This makes it impractical to suggest safeties.</p>