SCEA Deferred Chances

Hi! Yesterday I was deferred from Yale, and I was wondering what my chances are for getting in during the RD round.

State: NC, rural
Intended Major: Political Science, Statistics and Data Science
Rank: 1 of about 500
ACT1: 32 (32 English 31 Reading 29 Math 36 Science)
ACT2: 33 (35 English 32 Reading 33 Math 30 Science)
ACTSuperScore: 34

ECs
NC House Race Student Campaign Coordinator
North Carolina Governor’s School
NC Central District All-District Honor Band on alto saxophone (2015- 3rd chair 2016- 2nd chair 2017- 2nd chair; 2016 and 2017- eligible for all state)
Varsity Tennis Team, freshman and sophomore year
Volunteered as a saxophone tutor at local middle school
placed highly in local college honor bands drawing musicians from 4 or 5 states each year
played in the pit orchestra for school musicals sophomore and junior year
Worked at a restaurant, summer 2017, and as math tutor, fall 2017
Founded Book Drive at my high school, collected 726 books for local elementary school students

President of Tri-M Music Honor Society
Chief Junior Marshal
Wind Ensemble Underclassman Musician of the Year
Mu Alpha Theta Math Honor Society member
NHS member

My essays were solid and my teacher recommendations should have been top-notch, even though I didn’t read them.

I was just wondering what my chances might be, and I’m sure the other 3,120 people who are deferred are as anxious as I am. Any input is appreciated. Thank you so much!

As far as I’m aware, Yale has never published or released data regrading a deferred applicant’s chances, but Harvard has – and the data is not encouraging (see below). I must imagine Yale’s data is very similar. Therefore, as much as it might hurt, IMHO a deferred applicant should assume a deferral is a polite rejection and move on to other colleges on their list.

https://www.boston.com/news/education/2015/12/11/harvard-accepts-record-low-percentage-of-early-applicants