<p>This is from November 2009; I haven't found anything more recent, but if you have please share. I've given plenty of advice about being very careful before deciding to go to law school, but get the sense that no one pays much attention(shocking, I know, that an anonymous poster on the internet would be ignored...); anyway, here's the ABA's take from then:</p>
<p>ABA COMMISSION ON THE IMPACT OF THE ECONOMIC CRISES ON THE
PROFESSION AND LEGAL NEEDS
THE VALUE PROPOSITION OF ATTENDING LAW SCHOOL
Choosing to attend law school is a big decision that prospective law students should not
take lightly. Although many factors may influence ones decisions about whether and where to
attend law school, a proper understanding of the economic cost of a legal education is vital for
making an educated decision. Far too many law students expect that earning a law degree will
solve their financial problems for life. In reality, however, attending law school can become a
financial burden for law students who fail to consider carefully the financial implications of their
decision.
I. THE COST OF A LEGAL EDUCATION
Obtaining a degree from an ABA-accredited law school is not cheap. Over the last
twenty-five years, law school tuition has consistently risen two times as fast as inflation.1
Consequently, the average tuition at private law schools in 2008 was $34,298, while the average
in-state tuition for public law schools was $16,836.2 When one adds books and living expenses
to tuition, the average public law student borrows $71,436 for law school, while the average
private school student borrows $91,506.3 Many students borrow far more than $100,000,4 and
these numbers do not even include debt that students may still carry from their undergraduate
years.
1 Maimon Schwarzschild, The Ethics and Economics of American Legal Education Today, 17 J. CONTEMP. LEGAL
ISSUES 3, 5 (2008); see also THE ABA COMMISSION ON LOAN REPAYMENT AND FORGIVENESS, LIFTING THE BURDEN:
LAW STUDENT DEBT AS A BARRIER TO PUBLIC SERVICE 16 (Chicago 2003) [hereinafter LIFTING THE BURDEN].
2 ABA SECTION OF LEGAL EDUC. & ADMISSIONS TO THE BAR, LAW SCHOOL TUITION 19852008 (2008), available at
<a href="http://www.abanet.org/legaled/statistics/charts/stats%20-%205.pdf%5B/url%5D">http://www.abanet.org/legaled/statistics/charts/stats%20-%205.pdf</a>.
3 ABA SECTION OF LEGAL EDUC. & ADMISSIONS TO THE BAR, AVERAGE AMOUNT BORROWED FOR LAW SCHOOL,
20012008 (2008), available at <a href="http://www.abanet.org/legaled/statistics/charts/stats%20-%2020.pdf%5B/url%5D">http://www.abanet.org/legaled/statistics/charts/stats%20-%2020.pdf</a>.
4 Schwarzschild, supra note 1, at 6.
November 2009
To make matters worse, the recent economic downturn will likely make legal education
even more expensive. Endowment losses, declining state support, and difficulties in fundraising
have hit law schools hard. Consequently, most public law schools are raising tuition this year by
10-25%.5 At the same time, prospective students may have fewer resources from savings, family
assistance, or other sources to help defray the cost, even as financial aid assistance declines.6 An
average student considering enrolling in law school now should thus expect to graduate with debt
well in excess of $100,000.
II. PROSPECTS FOR LAW GRADUATES IN THE EMPLOYMENT MARKET
Many prospective law students are already familiar with the steep price of a legal
education. What many do not know, however, is that these costs often exceed the expected
return on their investment in the job market.7 Prior to the recession, starting salaries for
associates at large law firms stabilized around $160,000 a year,8 and many prospective law
students expect to be able to earn a comparable amount. In reality, however, only 23% of the
graduates of the class of 2008 started with such a high salary, including only 37% of those who
went into private practice.9 Shockingly, most of the rest of the graduates, about 42%, started
with an annual salary of less than $65,000.10
These numbers reflect the employment of the last cohort of law students whose initial
employment was relatively uninfluenced by the economic recession. This year, the employment
5 Karen Sloan, At Public Law Schools, Tuition Jumps Sharply, NATL L.J., Aug. 3, 2009, available at
At</a> Public Law Schools, Tuition Jumps Sharply.
6 Karen Sloan, Law schools dealing with budget cuts, NATL L.J., Jan. 19, 2009, available at Law.com</a> | Legal News, Technology, In-House Counsel, & Small Firms Legal Resources
jsp/nlj/PubArticleNLJ.jsp?id=1202427496279.
7 See Leigh Jones, As Salaries Rise, So Does the Debt, NATL L.J., Feb. 1, 2006, available at
As</a> Salaries Rise, So Does the Debt - Daily Business Review<a href="noting%20that%20law%20students%0Ain%202006%20paid%20267%%20more%20for%20their%20legal%20education%20than%20students%20in%201990,%20yet%20were%20earning%20an%20average%20of%20just%2060%%0Amore">/url</a>.
8 See Press Release, Nat'l Ass'n for Law Placement (NALP), Salaries at Largest Firms Up Again (Aug. 21, 2008),
available at [url=<a href="http://www.nalp.org/salariesatlargestfirmsupagain%5DNALP">http://www.nalp.org/salariesatlargestfirmsupagain]NALP</a> - The Association for Legal Career Professionals | Salaries at Largest Firms Up Again.
9 NALP, JOBS & JDS: EMPLOYMENT AND SALARIES OF NEW LAW GRADUATES 1819 (2009).
10 See id.
picture is even more bleak. Students are now competing for half as many jobs at top law firms
those most likely to pay $160,000 for first-year associatesas last year.11 Recruitment at many
levels of the job market is declining by similar amounts. Although numbers are not available
yet, many members of the class of 2010 and 2011 may graduate without a job, and those who are
lucky enough to find employment likely will collectively have lower salaries than their
predecessors. In short, the job market is more challenging than it has been in many years, as
well-paying jobs are in short supply.
III. THE BOTTOM LINE
The combination of the rising cost of a legal education and the realities of the legal job
market mean that going to law school may not pay off for a large number of law students. Dean
David Van Zandt of Northwestern Law School estimates that to make a positive return on the
investment of going to law school, given the current costs, the average law student must earn an
average annual salary of at least $65,315.12 As the data above show, however, over 40% of law
school graduates have starting salaries below this threshold. Thus, many students start out in a
position from which it may be difficult to recoup their investment in legal education. Even
students who do ultimately prosper over the course of a career face difficulties from high debt
loads during the beginning of their career. High debt can limit career choices, prevent
employment in the public service sector, or delay home ownership or marriage.13 In short, going
to law school can bring more financial difficulty than many law students expect.
11 Gerry Shih, Downturn Dims Prospects Even at Top Law Schools, N.Y. TIMES, Aug. 25, 2009, at B1.
12 Dean Van Zandts estimate is based on the assumption that students would make $60,000 per year without going
to law school, that law school tuition is $30,000 per year, that the student works for thirty years as a lawyer, and that
the discount rate is 5%. His estimate does not take into account the opportunity cost of three years of foregone
income, nor does he consider the cost of debt service on law school loans.
13 See THE ABA COMMISSION ON LOAN REPAYMENT AND FORGIVENESS, LIFTING THE BURDEN: LAW STUDENT DEBT
AS A BARRIER TO PUBLIC SERVICE (Chicago 2003).
The lack of financial return, of course, does not mean that it is not valuable to go to law
school. Many lawyers receive intrinsic benefits from a satisfying career that cannot easily be
quantified. It does mean, however, that students should think twice before going to law school
simply for the money. All too often, students who bank on reaping a positive financial return
from law school lose out.
IV. ADVICE FOR PROSPECTIVE LAW STUDENTS
All law school applicants should have a clear picture of the debt that they will incur and
the expected earning power of graduates from the schools to which they are applying. If their
expected salary cannot easily support their expected debt, students should look for other options
to cut back on expenses while in law school. Options include attending a local law school and
living at home, going to a public school where one can get in-state tuition, enrolling in a part
time program and continuing to work, or carefully controlling costs while in law school. If
students do not consider the financial implications of their decision to attend law school, they
may find themselves facing debt levels that they cannot support. With careful planning,
however, everyone who wants to attend law school should be capable of doing so. A prospective
law student should thus weigh her options carefully before choosing where to go to law school.
This paper was prepared by the ABA Commission on the Impact of the Economic Crisis on the
Profession and Legal Needs. The views expressed herein only reflect the views of the
Commission. No resolution presented in the paper represents the policy of the association until
it has been approved by the House of Delegates.
November 2009</p>