<p>Why are you saying it ‘may rise to $22K’? That’s double what it is now so I don’t think it’s likely to happen any time soon. Where are you getting that figure from?</p>
<p>Desirablity is part of the equation. At least so far, there aren’t many OOS state schools that would appeal to most students as much as many of the UCs for academic reputation, location, employment opportunities, etc. </p>
<p>A lot of the students at the top UCs already could attend decent private colleges for the same or less than the cost of the UC so as the tuition rises I think those would be considered more than OOS state schools.</p>
<p>California’s not the only state with fiscal issues and not the only state where the state college system has funding issues and rising costs so those OOS options might not look so attractive financially.</p>