<p>A few things to know about the situation in Philadelphia:</p>
<p>It’s hard to trust anyone. The current situation is rife with all sorts of cross-currents, and to some extent represents a “perfect storm” kind of phenomenon.</p>
<p>The District’s contract with the teachers’ union expired August 31, and everyone is negotiating a new contract. Much of the District’s actions probably represented negotiating tactics, and about 95% of all the hubbub and protests are union-generated. That’s not to say that there aren’t real problems and real concerns, but both the District and the union have an incentive to make everything seem catastrophic so that other parties (the state and the city) put more money into the system.</p>
<p>Pennsylvania’s governor will be facing re-election in a year and has the lowest approval ratings of any Pennsylvania governor in the history of polling (about 20% of likely voters say he is doing a good or excellent job). He is very vulnerable, possibly even to a primary challenge. The Republican primary voter base wants vouchers and union-busting, and a crisis in the Philadelphia school district helps that argument, too. So he has an incentive to prolong the crisis. And he has – by withholding promised state funds contingent on union givebacks.</p>
<p>The state controls the school district, by the way, and has for about a decade. The governor appoints three of the five members of the “School Reform Commission” that took over the district in response to a prior budget crisis (exacerbated by years of deceptive accounting by the District – no one trusts its numbers). The current governor has not done much to exercise that control.</p>
<p>The mayor of Philadelphia is politically weak and a term-limited lame duck. There is much jockeying going on among candidates to replace him. A lot of that jockeying is around just how to help the District, and in some cases how to curry favor with the teachers’ union. But it makes it hard to get things done, since getting any particular thing done will represent a victory for one candidate and a defeat for all of the others.</p>
<p>Everyone understands – and has understood for years – that Philadelphia has way too many schools for its population. But every school is a treasured asset to its particular neighborhood (which often has a different ethnic composition from the next neighborhood over), as well as a little fiefdom for its administrators and faculty. For the first time in forever the District has actually gotten serious about closing underused schools, but there is still tremendous anger about that (and lots of people trying to slow or halt projected future closings). That dynamic causes the District to create a crisis and parents, etc., to go nuts over things like crossing guards and walking routes. Also, of course, school closings mean reducing union employment, and raise the issue of bumping teachers with less seniority at other schools.</p>
<p>On the whole, and on the median, the Philadelphia school district does an inexcusably awful job of educating students. But there are substantial pockets of high-quality education throughout the system, and any parents who are reasonably engaged (and have students who are not serious disciplinary problems) can get their children places in schools that are really pretty good. So to a meaningful extent they are bought off, and have no particular incentive to crucify the District and force change. There are parent-led school reform groups that are not union fronts, but they are largely do-gooders or ideologues, not really the voice of the masses.</p>