“applying EDII at Wesleyan would double my chances”
That’s a common misconception. If you’re trying to do EDII at Wes because the acceptance rate is higher for ED, you’re doing it for the wrong reason. The acceptance rate is going to be a little higher for ED because the class is in the early stage of being shaped, but by and large, the acceptance rate is higher for ED because 1) ED applicants tend to be stronger and 2) ED applicants also include the majority of recruited athletes and legacies who are going to have a higher acceptance rate anyway. You are not giving yourself much of a boost (and it’s miniscule if it exists) by trying to do ED.
So you can feel better when Wesleyan likely tells you your app will be in the RD pool.