<p>Some additional notes from someone who, well, did not exactly arrive on the Mayflower… I’ve written about this in the past…</p>
<p>In the dark ages (early-mid 80’s) there really was a ‘shortage’ as the tech industry of the time took off. H1 was a temporary visa from F1 (student) to Green Card. Processing time was under a year from most countries, maybe 2 years for India (nobody from China back then). The quota was quite low, 30,000 rings a bell for 3rd preference, a grad degree was derigeur, and based on the LCA paperwork we were getting paid ongoing wages. </p>
<p>There were a few contract houses doing the ‘4-H1s-in-a-2-bedroom-apartment-and-rusted-out-car’ routine, especially when I was living in Detroit in the mid 80’s. But we got the cream of the crop, nearly all my Indian coworkers at the time were IIT’s. </p>
<p>The first job cuts started happening in the coasts (east and west), for different reasons; east coast was when the ‘old guard’ companies went away (Digital, etc) and west coast when the defense industry had cuts following the '89 Berlin Wall etc). The GC quota was raised, and more H1’s came in, this time from more ‘mainstream’ schools (not just IIT’s). </p>
<p>The 90’s brought a lot more people as the quotas were further relaxed and more H1’s came in (nearly 200k people a year by the late 90’s). By then we were getting a lot of regional college grads who all had up-to-date experience (as the poster in misc.jobs.misc lamented, “exactly how many C++ developers does the Municipal Water Company of {insert city} employs”… </p>
<p>Up to that point layoffs in the US were not huge - there were jobs (on the way to the outsourcing office) and one could play the game quite well. Mrs. Turbo milked the late 90’s for all they were worth…But it was getting harder and harder, as relatively few US developers (compared to offshore) had solid experience in the n-tier architecture, .NET, ASP, blah blah. Plus there were enough management and glorified offshore handholding positions to go around so nobody noticed jobs were really beginning to disappear. Also, telecom between here and there was not all that great…</p>
<p>The floodgates opened during the dot com boom and Y2K and beyond, and that was all she wrote. There were massive job losses after 2000, and in my view, some seriously unqualified offshore resources job hopping every six months. In 2003 or 2004 the caps reverted to some really low numbers, and of course more creative visas were used (L1, B1…) </p>
<p>Give me 1985 level candidates and 2003 level H1 quotas (200k) and I have no problem. The IIT’ians I worked alongside with were nearly all geniuses… But there’s a big leap of faith - to put it mildly - between the grads we were getting then vs what we’re getting now, and that’s the whole crux of the H1 argument.</p>