Tufts is an interesting case study for admissions stats (and the limitations of trying to use them).
First of all, unlike many places, they don’t play games with deferrals and only defer 8% of ED1 applicants. On the other hand, they don’t publish ED admission rates. They are also a bit coy in terms of stating whether ED applicants get a boost or not:
“ I will be asked at least one time, “Isn’t it reallyyyy easier to get in ED?”
My answer to this question is yes. And no. And kind of.
So let’s break Early Decision down and have a real talk.
First thing’s first: It is NOT (I repeat NOT) easier to get into Tufts ED. But sometimes it’s harder to get in Regular Decision.”
For Fall 2023 Tufts had 34,000 applicants and 3,230 acceptances = 9.5% acceptance rate. Unknown ED1 acceptance rate. Based on previous years, they had around 600 ED1 acceptances.
And about 35% of the incoming class was accepted in the ED1 round. However, that last stat is highly deceptive: ED1 acceptances have essentially a 100% enrollment (yield) rate, while RD acceptances have a much lower yield. Doing the math, at an overall yield rate of around 53%, that means that ED1 admits make up only 19% of all acceptances. That’s the important figure to keep in mind: over 81% of all acceptances were after the ED1 round.
The ED1 round has a large number of hooked acceptances. Tufts has about 800 varsity athletes (808 listed for 2017 based on the linked 2019 WaPo article). If almost all of those got in via admissions slots as is likely, that’s 200 per year out of the 600 ED1 acceptances.
Other targeted hooked categories could easily account for at least another 150 acceptances in the ED1 round, leaving maybe 250 spots in the ED1 round for unhooked applicants. The overall acceptance rate for the ED1 round is certainly higher than the RD round, but once you back out the hooked applicants from the equation, it gets murky. Even if there was data for it, the unhooked ED1 round applicant pool will have different characteristics than the RD applicant pool and is likely to have more competitive candidates even excluding hooked applicants, so actual acceptance chances are likely to be close. That is what Tufts means when they say “It is NOT (I repeat NOT) easier to get into Tufts ED.”
Others may have more insight or data behind the scenes, but the above is a start.
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