“As summarized in the table below, the legacy admit rate during the 1980s lawsuit was the same as during the recent lawsuit-- 34-35% in both classes. The Non-ALDC admit rate had a huge drop from 13% to 5% during this 25 year generational gap between samples, yet the legacy admit rate was unchanged. Back in the 1980s the legacy admit rate was 2-3x the non-legacy admit rate. In the class of 2014-19 lawsuit sample, the ratio had increased to legacy admit rate being ~7x larger than non-legacy. If the trend has continued, the legacy admit rate should be ~9x larger than the admit rate for non-legacies today.”
@Data10 - is it accurate to say that the drop in non-ALDC admit rates is because the increase in applications was mostly from non-ALDCs? I am guessing the 1%ers, legacies, etc applicant pool was already maxed out. OTOH, there is an enormous untapped supply of non-ALDCs.
I have a couple of thoughts, if that is true:
(1) if the elites think they need a certain raw number of legacy admits to keep the money flowing, and a certain number of athletes to win games, is it wrong if they keep that raw number of those admits stable, instead of proportionally decreasing them to accommodate the exploding number of non-ALDC applicants? If not, then the trend will absolutely continue with the increase in applications, but that is not because of the legacies.
(2) The admissions offices talk a lot more now about seeking out low SES, first gen, urms. (yay!). They are out on the road looking for them. They understand that they have lower stats because of a lack of access to test prep, etc. They know that a job is a great EC. They (rightly) want kids like the one @blossom described in her post a couple pages back. Those admissions numbers will probably/hopefully increase, but that doesn’t mean legacies will decrease.
(3) the average excellent upper or middle class white/orm kids have spent so much money curating their lives for the perfect application are the ones who get hurt, i.e. all that money/time didn’t get them to their goal and likely made the kids miserable in the process. I don’t think the “hurt” is that they weren’t admitted. Heck, there are more of them applying than there are total spots in all of the elites put together. Even without ALDCs most of them won’t get in, even though they are qualified. Legacies and non-transparent buckets have nothing to do with that harsh reality. It is just math. No one rejection can be blamed on any one acceptance.
People shouldn’t have to sacrifice their childhood in pursuit of a golden ticket that will never materialize. Oh, and public flagships should be more affordable so that normal people don’t have to rely on the false hope of a full ride to an out of state private. Imagine if the money people spent on club sports, intensive summer camps, college counselors, tutors and test prep went instead to public schools. And kids got some free time and sleep back. Or heck, what if the middle class just didn’t go into debt to fund these programs? That is a fight worth having - more than one over a fraction of a fraction of college spots.
Btw, I totally agree that we are all hurt by discrimination. I just don’t think legacy admissions is the biggest fish to fry on that front. It is a sardine and there are ginormous tunas out there to be [sustainably and ethically] caught.