Thoughts on chances?

I am looking to create my shortlist of schools and got the following list from the Predictor Tool at http://bit.ly/1p1FMHd
…which seems a reasonable start … (categories are from the site) …

What do you guys think? My profile is 720 GMAT, 3.4 GPA, Top 20 UG, decent recos.

STRONG (top candidate):
U of Connecticut
u of Pittsburgh
Southern Methodist

COMPETITIVE (above par, solid shot):
Boston U
Penn State
Temple U

PAR (similar to other candidates):
UT Austin
Carnegie Mellon
Cornell

POSSIBLE (need to address gaps):
Columbia
U Cal Berkeley
Tuck

STRETCH:
HBS
Stanford
Wharton

not sure what happened with the link there … just google schooltorch free tools