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idad, did you, in fact, mean that those with the biggest endowments would be hurt the most, because their main source of income will dry up?
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<p>No. Even if endowment returns were the only revenue stream being reduced by the bad economy, that would not be the case. Let's use a high endowment LAC and a low endowment LAC as examples: Swarthmore and Wesleyan since I have their 2008 financial reports handy.</p>
<p>Wesleyan has per student spending of $54,997 of which $10,581 comes from endowment spending. They are already topped out in terms of percentage endowment spending (4.8%), so a 30% decline in endowment means a 30% decline in that endowment spending. With no other reductions in tuition, giving, etc, Wesleyan will need to bring per student spending down to $51,823.</p>
<p>Swarthmore has per student spending of $81,350 of which $36,361
comes from endowment spending. Wesleyan and Swarthmore have virtually identical net tuition revenue ($32k per student). Swarthmore was at the extreme low end of their target endowment spending in 2008, just 3.7%. They can go to the top of their spending range (4.7%) to partially offset a 30% decline in endowment. They will need to reduce endowment spending by approximately 12% (roughly $4,000 per student) with an endowment decline of 30%. With no other reductions in tuition, giving, etc, Swarthmore will need to bring per student spending down to $77,225.</p>
<p>In reality, both schools will have to cut more deeply than that as net tuition revenue is almost certain to fall, as will charitable giving. </p>
<p>Swarthmore had completed all of their planned construction projects including two new dorms, a new science center, a complete top to bottom renovation of the main administration building, new lighted athletic field and so forth. They had nothing on the drawing boards, a surplus of housing capacity, and no deferred maintenance. The cuts won't be easy, but the educational program should remain largely untouched.</p>