<p>There's no way to generalize about whether or not you would be better off EA / ED or RD for a unhooked, but strong candidate. First of all because I think YSM etc look for slightly different things, but also because we're not seeing the essays of accepted versus non. This fear of 'hasty rejections', namely from stanford, where a kid who is in position to get into an Ivy or so is flat out rejected and not even deferred raises the question of would the kid be better served applying RD. I do not think so, because my theory is this - eliminate the riffraff of RD, and your looking at a same strength pool as in EA. It is 'harder' to get in EA/ED, but I think if you were neither accepted nor deferred EA/ED, that particular place just doesnt want you, and wouldnt the same application in RD. </p>
<p>Students who get in, from what I can tell, have some sort of hook anyway, RD or no, they have something thats in demand and in short supply. Perhaps a student with math accomplishments and literature accomplishments - that is not a hook, but it is a something. To get in, you need something in demand but in short supply - URM or Legacy isnt a hook, but it can suffice as a portion of that something. Unhooked students, if they have a plan for how to show something that is in demand but not supply by the EA time, might as well apply. </p>
<p>Here's my hypothesis. For the very tip top applicants; EA/ED is a godsend. The combined affect of your dedication and maybe commitment to a school + having really top applications can really seal the deal. But for applicants who are 'great', but not extraordinary (I mean in their application, not as a person - applicant here means a piece of paper, not 'who you are') - applicants who are in the boat where 'I'll apply to all ivies, should get one or two, MAYBE Stanford' probably wont be served in Stanford's EA as well as they would have been served in RD. Because of the slaughter effect; Stanford cherry picks a few and slaughters the rest basically. At Yale, completely different story; because they defer 47%, chances are if you were at all close you will be reconsidered for RD, so why not. Each college's ED/EA is different, and you have to individually decide if EA or RD is best. </p>
<p>Again, it would be interesting to compare the admission rates of Yale legacies applying to Yale (2007 was 30% I believe) versus the admission rates of PRINCETON legacies applying to Yale. That would be the best judge of how much legacy helps, because you're isolating other variables. Of course, since generally universities need a fair amount of pestering to reveal any pertinent information about race or legacy admission rates to the public...</p>