Transfer acceptance to Smith? (probability)

I am a current sophomore and am looking to transfer schools. In HS I had a 3.7 and a 33 ACT, with multiple 4/5 APs scores. I started college at Boston University, but unfortunately, endured some emotional abuse and sexual abuse and had to leave the school. My grades suffered as a result and I ended up with a 3.0. I transferred to my state school because the window to transfer somewhere else had closed and the situation was urgent. At my state school, I have maintained a 3.8 GPA and am in the Honors College. I know that no one can truly predict the future, but does anyone have any insight into what my chances of transferring into a school like Smith are? I am also looking at Bryn Mawr and other similar schools. I believe the environment of these schools is much more suitable for my personality.