transferring... chances?

<p>I have a 3.09 gpa right now and I'm a first semester junior in college, what are the chances of me transferring to UVA and getting in with that gpa? My SATs were good/average - 1870 - and my high school graduating gpa was a 4.3. Also, I have good extracurricular activities, I play a D1 sport at the college I'm at now, several members of my family attended UVA, and initially I was accepted to UVA right out of high school but chose to go to a different college. Do these things matter when applying for transfer? What are my chances of acceptance for spring transfer?
Thanks for the help!</p>