A trend is that unemployment claims were up in 36 out of 50 states last week (for the purposes of illustration). It’s too early to tell if this represents an overall increase in unemployment nationally due to Covid, because it’s December and there are many seasonal industries which lay employees off in December due to lack of demand, and because unemployment claims don’t track actual unemployment exactly- since an employee who got a generous severance package in August couldn’t file (yet) until their severance ran out. So you couldn’t state categorically that unemployment due to Covid is increasing rapidly (maybe it is, maybe it isn’t).
That’s a trend.
The fact that out of a tiny number of kids applying to U Chicago from one, non-representative HS in the LA Metro area, there was a small increase over a three year (or whatever) period is NOT a trend. And certainly doesn’t mean that Chicago “owns” California- since we don’t have comparable numbers for SF, or Sacramento, (maybe their application numbers and yield went down, canceling out the Owning coming out of Beverly Hills?)
That’s why statistics needs to be taught. To learn what an outlier is, to learn why arguing off of poor or incomplete data means your argument can easily be refuted, and to learn how to accurately describe what is going on without resorting to strange and bizarre claims.
But if you have evidence that the entire state of Massachusetts is about to fall into the ocean I’d love to see that data.