@ugradbiz I hope that is true. My DD didn’t get any UCLA email and is kind of very stressful. She did get UCSB Regent, no UCI. My D made mistakes entering the coursework in UC app and we are very concerned if their calculated gpa is not high enough for UCLA.
Good question @jackbelchos …
Did anyone who got the supplemental questionnaire get the email?
No email… international applicant.
@ugradbiz Hey! Nice to “see” you
Is everyone else receiving a weekly email from UCLA?
Is everyone else receiving a weekly email from UCLA?
Is regents only for in state applicants?
Is the email to apply for Alumni Scholarship a good sign? What does this mean??
Both IS/OOS @college2022c dunno about Int.
To put some minds at ease for those who didn’t receive the alumni email, and at the risk of repeating myself, my son didn’t get the Alumni email last year but did get the engineering email that indicates acceptance. The engineering goes out to the top 20% or so of engineering admits. So don’t freak out if you didn’t get the Alumni email.
I’m freaking out…
@bsmdint I am going to take a stab at this, but I may be completely wrong, as I am using numbers from previous posts on this thread and numbers reported by UCLA: http://admission.universityofcalifornia.edu/campuses/ucla/freshman-profile/
Bear with me as this post will get kind of long! Looking at the numbers, 22,600 applicants should’ve received the alumni scholarship email since that is 20% of the 113,000 applicants who applied for admission for Fall 2018. If we assume that 60% of the students who got the email get accepted, that means 13,560 will be accepted and the remaining 9,040 email receivers will be denied or waitlisted. If we presume that UCLA will accept roughly a total of 16,500 applicants for this year’s admissions cycle as they did last year, that means the overall acceptance rate will be roughly 14.6% (16,500/113,000). If we subtract out the 13,560 who got the email and got accepted, that means 2,940 students who did not receive the email will be accepted. That means 82% of admitted students will be from the pool of applicants who received the email, and the remaining 18% will be from the pool who did not receive the email.
However, this is based on the notion that 60% of the applicants who were invited to apply for alumni scholarship are accepted, in which the 60% seems extremely high to me as it then means that 82% of all admitted students received the alumni scholarship invite. But yet again, I am just a high school senior tinkering with admissions statistics. Changing the acceptance rate of those who receive the email will drastically change the other proportions. If the acceptance rate of those who received the email dropped to 40%, the proportion of all admitted students that also received the email would drop to 54.8% and the proportion of all admitted students that did not receive the scholarship invite would increase to 45.2%. There is also the possibility of confounding because of Regents. It has been posted that roughly 1500-2000 people are invited for Regents and that 90-95% of these applicants are accepted. There is a highly likely chance that members of the 20% invited for alumni scholarships will also be invited for Regents, and many applicants who didn’t get the scholarship email will be invited to apply for Regents.
Essentially what I am trying to get at is that there are too many unknowns to lose hope and stress about not getting the alumni scholarship invite because a large portion of those who are invited end up getting denied, and a large portion of those who don’t get the invite get accepted.
Does anyone know if I can recycle my Personal Insight Questions for the alumni application? Do these applications stay separate?
@youcee, what is the Engineering email, and when did that came out last year? (This year, everything could be a little bit later than last year, but the sequencing may keep the same.)
@bogeyorpar The engineering email is an invitation to Discover UCLA Engineering, which takes place after decisions come out. The email comes out a week before decisions. If you get that, basically you are in. It wouldn’t make sense to invite someone to an event for admitted students if they aren’t admitted.
@ugradbiz thank you so much for your analysis and easing the minds of those who didn’t get alumni emails. This is our first experience with colleges and feel very anxious on any information we learn until kids get into colleges they deserve. Good luck kids!
hi all, my son got the alumni scholarship email but the email clearly states that there is no connection to alumni scholarship invite and the admission decision. Both are done independently. Of course, there will be some criteria used to select candidates and that will drive some correlation but both decisions are independent. Also, the alumni scholarship email goes out in waves. So for all who did not get the email, do not worry much. good luck.
@jk2020 I’m pretty confident the email is just sent to the top 20%. Where did you hear that it comes in waves?
@ugradbiz Your math is not quite right, you missed an important factor: yield. It is not how many UCLA wants to accept, the key is how big UCLA’s capacity is to house the actually enrolled, yield = enrolled / accepted.
To illustrate, use the latest UCLA actual freshmen enrollment data (http://www.admission.ucla.edu/Prospect/Adm_fr/Frosh_Prof16.htm), total 6546 enrolled in 2016, Now let’s give UCLA some credit, assume capacity improved to 7000 this year, and they want to keep the yield to 37% (by reduce acceptance rate), then the projected 2018 overall acceptance will be 7000/37%/113000=16.74%.
Now using your other assumptions, we calculate as from the top 20% invites pool, 20%60%=12% accepted → 12%37%113000=5017 enrolled, leaving 7000-5017=1983 beds for the other 80% to fill, UCLA needs to convert it to 1983/(11300080%)/37%=5.93% acceptance for the un-invited applicants. In another way to measure, 1983/7000=28.3% of the 2018 UCLA freshmen are not invited for scholarship.
Feel better now? Let me make you happier with a rosier picture.
There is a 12.5% increase of UCLA applicants this year, but we know the total number of HS seniors has not changed much, the increases to individual school is the result of fear, students are applying more “match/safety” schools. Thus for the top 20% the actual yield will be lower than 37%. Let’s calculate it this way, saying half of the 12.5% increased (or 12.5%/1.125%/2=5.5% overall) are in the top 20% and they will not enroll regardless, which means only (20-5.5)%60%37%113000=3637 seats will be used → leaving (7000-3637)/(11300080%)/37%=10% acceptance rate for the rest.
These are the minimum factors UCLA needs to take into account.
Will Regents most likely come today?