UF 2023 Chance me!

Hi. I am nervously awaiting my decision. Please chance me on getting into UF 2023.
UF calculated GPA: 3.86
SAT: 1390
Private School
Course Rigor: 6 AP, 11 honors I think, 1 IB
108 service hours
Extra Circulars:
3 years of working at retirement home
4 years playing varsity basketball (team captain this year), 2 year district champions
3 years Harvard Model Congress Club
2 internships (freshman and sophomore year)
Basketball coach for various teams and camps throughout high school

Wrote essay about family struggles with an autistic brother (who also has other diagnoses disorders) and how I have become stronger from it. Spent many weeks composing it.

I know my GPA is below UF standards, but am hoping my ECs and essay will compensate

edit: i am in state

One never knows for sure with UF holistic admissions but as you have stated, your GPA is far below UF averages. Last year 75% of kids had a recalculated GPA of more than 4.2. You have a strong SAT score but UF doesn’t weigh standardized tests as much as grades and rigor. Good luck but I hope you have a couple safeties in play. Let us know what happens.

On the bubble, but wishing you the very best! Your ECs are very strong and test scores competitive.