<p>As the former President of the University of Utah and a former mid-level administrator at the University of Michigan, Machen would have had the opportunity to view at least two other groups of schools close-up: the Mountain West Conference schools, and the Big Ten/CIC schools.</p>
<p>Mountain West Conference
School/ Machen score / Overall PA score</p>
<p>Air Force (not in survey)
Brigham Young / 2 / 2.9
Colorado State / 3 / 2.8
New Mexico / 2 / 2.7
San Diego State / 3 / 2.7
Texas Christian / 3 / 2.6
UNLV / 2 / 2.4
Utah / 4 / 2.9
Wyoming / 2 / 2.5</p>
<p>These are all pretty middling schools. The national PA rates them all between 2 and 3; likewise, Machen generally gives them 2s or 3s (and remember, he’s got to use whole numbers). The obvious outliers here are Utah, where Machen was President until recently, which he overrates; and in-state arch-rival Brigham Young, which he arguably underrates. But again these kinds of outliers should wash out of the final PA aggregate rating. So far I’m not seeing much evidence of systematic bias.</p>
<p>Big Ten Conference/Committee on Institutional Cooperation</p>
<p>The Big Ten schools not only share an athletic conference. Through the CIC they, along with former Big Ten member the University of Chicago, also cooperate on academic and institutional matters. As a former administrator at Michigan, Machen should know a thing or two about this group of schools.</p>
<p>School / Machen score / Overall PA score
Chicago / 4 / 4.6
Illinois / 4 / 4.0
Indiana / 3 / 3.7
Iowa / 4 / 3.5
Michigan / 5 / 4.4
Michigan State / 3 / 3.4
Minnesota / 3 / 3.6
Northwestern / 4 / 4.3
Ohio State / 3 / 3.6
Penn State / 3 / 3.7
Purdue / 4 / 3.7
Wisconsin / 4/ 4.1</p>
<p>Again, it’s hard to say he got any of these egregiously wrong as all his scores are in the ballpark of the national expert consensus, in no case deviating by more than 0.6 from the national score—and remember, he’s constrained to give whole number scores, so if he thinks Michigan is between a 4 and a 5 he’s got to give it one or the other, he can’t give it a 4.5. Arguably some slight “home field advantage” for Iowa (where he got his PhD) and Michigan (where he taught and served as an administrator), but not major deviations from the national consensus, and any minor subjective preferences of this kind will be washed out by the scores of other survey participants. But in general, the consensus would be that among this group of schools Chicago, Northwestern, Michigan, Illinois, and Wisconsin form the top group; many would add Purdue on the strength of its science and engineering, as does Machen, who also adds Iowa—though he’s an outlier on that one, and not influential enough to budge Iowa in the overall PA rating. And even the weaker schools in the Big Ten are very strong academically, as reflected in their PA ratings which generally fall closer to 4 than to 3. Notice that Machen gives this group 3s, presumably to distinguish them from his 4s.</p>
<p>Notice also the larger pattern. Apart from his aberrant scoring of Florida and Utah, Machen clearly thinks the Big Ten/CIC schools are stronger as a group than the Mountain West, SEC, and Florida schools. That accords with the industry-wide consensus as well as the overall U.S. News rankings. These are not wild uninformed guesses, as the PA’s critics so endlessly charge. They’re thoughtful, informed judgments by someone who through the course of distinguished and varied academic career as undergrad, grad student, professor, mid-level administrator, and university president has had a great deal of interaction with very different groups of schools in widely dispersed parts of the country. </p>
<p>I actually think Bernie’s doing a pretty good job with this, and the closer you look at the data, the more it does to debunk the prejudices of the PA’s critics, rather than debunking the PA itself as the critics contend.</p>