There seems to be a consensus on the business/finance forums that CMU is a semi-target/non-target.
http://www.wallstreetoasis.com/forums/is-carnegie-mellon-a-target-0
Whereas Berkeley seems to be a target for Haas, and a semi-target for non-Haas.
http://www.wallstreetoasis.com/faq/what-are-a-target-semi-target-and-non-target-schools
The links provided above by @ucbalumnus also seem to point to Haas being a target and Tepper being a semi-target/non-target. Here is a link for Berkeley Economics, and it seems to be a semi-target:
https://career.berkeley.edu/sites/default/files/pdf/Survey/2014Econ.pdf
Overall, Berkeley at least offers the OP a chance to go to Haas, but is probably also a bit better for non-haas as well.
Note: By 100% sure on business, I mean a career in business, not necessarily studying it.