UT OOS admission vs. UC OOS admission

I have a unweighted GPA of 4.0, a weighted GPA of 4.51 (I am ranked number 1 in my class), and ACT score of 34, an SAT MATH II score of 800, and I have taken many AP and college classes. Also, I have been playing the cello for 12 years, and am pretty accomplished (am first chair in all of the local orchestras, and was assistant principal cellist in a national orchestra that performed at Carnegie Hall). Also, I am an accomplished policy debater, winning many tournaments as well as the state tournament in Louisiana my freshman year. This is just a rough picture of me as an applicant.

The thing is, I was denied admission from UT Austin recently. I am in Louisiana, which is out of state, and I understand that getting admission to UT out of state is fairly difficult. However, this worries me. I really want to go to one of the UC schools (preferably Berkeley, to study physics). As is evident, I am an OOS applicant for the UC schools as well. I applied to Santa Barbara, Berkeley, UCLA, and San Diego. My question is, what are my chances of getting into one of these UC schools, given the fact that I am out of state, and given the fact that I was denied admission to UT? This isn’t so much a chances thread as an inquiry into how OOS students fair with admission to these large state schools these days.

Not an expert here, but UC schools are bleeding money and love OOS applicants (because they pay full freight). Assuming you’re full pay and didn’t apply for FA, and just considering your stats, I think chances are good you’ll get into at least one of the UCs. UT is simply brutal for those not falling within the in-state auto-admit criteria, and they have more in-staters but not by a huge margin. They’re just not quite as driven by $ as UCs since UT-system is massively endowed.

Do some searches, here are a few articles/threads I found very quickly. Lots of discussion about this out there.

Good luck!

http://www.mercurynews.com/education/ci_25731300/uc-nonresident-students-increase-californians-admissions-slow
http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/what-my-chances/1781325-uc-vs-oos-chances.html
http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/university-california-berkeley/1841341-ucb-capping-out-of-state-applicants-to-20.html