UVA Transfer chances from William and Mary?

Hi, I’m a freshman at William and Mary who has applied to transfer to UVA. Last semester I had a 3.58 GPA and did some fairly standard extracurriculars; this semester I’m also doing chemistry research. I went to TJHSST in NoVA, had a good gpa, and have a 2320 SAT. I’m a good writer so I expect that my essays will be up to par, and my chemistry lab professor wrote my rec. What do you think of my chances? I’ve heard that a lot of spaces go to community college transfers. Does anyone know that percentage?