What are my chances at BSMD programs and T20s?????

Hi guys!!! OMG OMG OMG Kinda nervous ab college apps so just looking to see where I actually have a chance!!! Thank you in advance!!!

Demographics: White, male, immigrant, mediocre public high school, competitive state

Intended Major(s): Biology, Biochem, Bioinformatics, etc

UW/W GPA: 96/4.0 UW, 103 ish weighted

Class Rank: top 10 out of 500ish class

Testing: 35 ACT, 800 Bio M, 750 Math 2

Coursework: AP World (5), AP Bio (5), AP Stats (4), AP Lang (5), APUSH (5), AP Psych (5), will take AP Chem, Lit, and a couple more maybe Physics (but I don’t want to… will I have a chance at BSMD programs with no physics?)

Awards: Pretty basic, will be National Merit Commended, AP Scholar, Have a few school awards, and one award from my local hospital for volunteering

Extracurriculars:

  1. about 1000 hours of research, I am an author on an abstract/poster that was presented internationally by my mentor and will be an author on a pretty big paper
  2. Hospital volunteering (~600 hours)
  3. Physician Shadowing ~ 40 hours
  4. Audited a masters class about bioethics ~ 50 hours
  5. Part of youth squad at ambulance company (junior EMT) ~ about 300 hours
  6. Model UN treasurer ~ 300 hours
  7. Local youth ministry; organized mission trip to a developing country (NO I will not be writing about this lol)
  8. Multiple part-time jobs throughout high school
  9. Honor Societies (the basic stuff)
  10. A couple more generic clubs, I helped found one (science olympiad)

Essays/LORs/Other: I am a pretty decent writer so I guess 7-8/10 for essays? My letters are very good though and I will be getting one from my research mentor. Other than that I’m pretty basic soooooooo yeah.

Schools: T20s (ivies, Stanford, Duke, etc) and BSMD programs like SUNY Upstate and its feeders, Brooklyn College and SUNY Downstate, Stony Brook Scholars for Medicine, Hofstra 4+4, Rutgers NJMS and its feeders, GWU 7 year, St. Bonaventure and GWU 8 year, UPitt GAP, Case Western, Brown PLME, etc.

I know these schools/programs are very competitive and oftentimes students with even better stats than me don’t get in or get rejected pre-interview so please be honest guys and if you think I am aiming too high offer some matches/safeties as reverse chances as I am very very nervous especially with COVID.

THANK YOU SO MUCH!!!

Your stats are great, I wish I had them. To be honest, you can’t really predict the odds of getting into universities that are so competitive. Even if your application was perfect, there would always be a chance you would be rejected. Schools of such caliber should always be considered reach schools because almost everyone that applies has almost perfect acts and gpas and it really comes down to the impression your application gives to the admission officer. That being said I think, you have a good chance of being accepted into an excellent school. Even if you don’t get in and end up having to go to a safety, your accomplishments in highschool demonstrate that you have the ambition and the potential to succeed in life even if you don’t attend an Ivy or a T20 university.