What are my chances at Direct MD UCLA?

<p>I'm most interested in the Direct MD programs such as Caltech/UCLA, Brown, Baylor2, Rice/Baylor, etc.
If I can't get into those, I would like to go to a school where I can do well in biochemistry and be able to maintain a great GPA but learn well for the MCAT so I can stick out as a candidate.
Does anyone also have any recommendations for me as far as being a good candidate for direct md programs? I would love to get into Caltech/UCLA but am not from California (I think they give heavy preference).
Also, does it matter which undergraduate school I go to if I don't go direct md? Do medical schools just care about your grades, GPA, and MCAT basically? Does the school matter? Would going to an IVY undergrad help?</p>

<p>Stats:</p>

<p>• ACT: 35 w/writing
• UW GPA: 3.96
o Bio: 4
o Calc BC (self-study): 4
o US Gov.: 4
o Chem: 5
o Stat: 5
o Env Sci: 4
o Debate Team (highest recognition: 3rd place in state)
o Math Team
o Science Team (Treasurer)
o Human Relations Club
o House Leadership Committee
o Video Game Club
o 2 years Varsity Table Tennis (Captain)
o 4 years Badminton (Captain)
o 150+ hrs Yale New Haven Hospital and Saint Raphael's Hospital
o 312+ hrs Tutoring Math at youth group to younger children
 Every Sunday for 2 hrs
o shadowing 300+ hrs with a surgeon, physician, radiologist, radiation therapist, cardiologist
o Independent Research
 Rheumatoid Arthritis Project
• Several awards at local science fair
o Research at Yale School of Medicine
 Department of Cell Biology
 2 Publications
 I participated in the work heavily (I was not some assistant or something else)
o AP Scholar w/ Distinction
o National Merit Finalist
o Science Olympiad Epidemiology Medal
o Alexion Biotechnology Award
o Traveler's Insurance Award
o Science Fair Biotechnology Award
o Science Bowl Fuel Cell Tropy</p>