What are my chances at UNC, UMichigan, UVA, UChicago, and Northwestern all out of state?

UT-Austin for any flavor of Engineering is going to be tough. So that’s a reach.

If you are willing to pay OOS for UCs, the 3 on your list could be possibilities. You need calculate your 10-11 UC GPA. Only AP/IB/DE get the the extra GPA weighting though.