What are my chances at UNC, UMichigan, UVA, UChicago, and Northwestern all out of state?

@northwesty thank you that’s actually very helpful. I’m trying to get my SAT higher. I’ve taken a few practice tests (after lots of studying), and most of them resulted in around a 1520. So not a HUGE improvement, but if I could get a 1520 that’d be great. With all that being said, do you think going that top 20 route (Vandy, NW, etc) ED1 then if I don’t get in go ED2 somewhere else would be logical?