What are my chances for UC Riverside, UC Merced, and UC Santa Cruz?

Grade as of next school year: 12
GPA: 3.2 weighted
APs: 2
Honors: English, weighted
SAT: 1980 (1st time taking), 1920 (2nd time), 1800 (3rd time)
ECs: Speech club (1 year), Interact club (3 years),Gay-Straight Alliance Secretary as of next year, internship this summer
Major: either business/economics
in state student

What are my chances for UCR, UCM, and UCSC? im really worried about my huge SAT score drop and im planning to take the ACT in senior year. Im planning to take SAT 2 Literature and SAT 2 Math 2. Please be honest but not harsh.