I think you have good chances at these three schools, esp. w/ ED. I think that if you can make your essays compelling and interesting, you will increase your chances even more. Especially because you don’t need FA, ED seems like a good choice. If you are having a tough time deciding, research the school, visit if you can, and talk to people who know you and the school(s) well.
If you could chance me back, that would be great:
http://talk.qa.collegeconfidential.com/what-my-chances/1998481-chance-me-for-top-lacs-and-ivies-p2.html