What are my chances of being accepted to CSUF of the fall term of next year

I am currently at Fullerton college. I am looking to transfer to CSUF to major in political science. I also plan to do the ATD (associates to transfer degree) which would hopefully help with my acceptance. My Worries are based on the fact that my GPA is pretty low (2.58). What are my chances of being accepted there?Also keep in mind I am a local student so that should also help in my admission. Thank you guys