What are my chances of getting into UMD-College Park

<p>I'm currently attending East Carolina University as a freshman. Being that I have only completed first semester, I have 12 credits (dropped 2 classes due to me changing my major) and plan on having 26 ending this year. I'm also going to a CC over the summer to take Calculus I, and that would give me 29 credits. My GPA ending this semester is a 3.295. I live in NC, but next year will be in MD with my father, so hopefully i will be able to qualify for instate tuition. I'm an African American female if that has anything to do with anything, I've heard it does and it doesn't. I reaaaaalllyyy want to go here, but I want to know my chances of getting in by others!!</p>

<p>HS GPA: 3.31
Rank: 25%
SAT for math, reading, and writing: 1450 (low, i know)</p>