What are my chances to transfer to OSU?!?

I am currently a freshman at a D3 college in Ohio playing basketball. I already know I want to transfer and I’d like to go to OSU. I looked up their average transfer GPA and it’s around a 3.1. I am going to apply over winter break which means I can only send my first semester transcripts of college. I will get around a 3.5 for the first semester. I heard since I am only sending my first semester that they will want my HS transcripts also. I got a 3.3 in HS and that was due to a couple AP classes that I got a C in which lowered my grade but other than that I got all As and Bs. I am not a great rest taker and got a 23 on my ACT I’m not sure if they will look at that . Also to add in I am a finance major . What are the chances you guys think I have to get into the school next year? I will obviously write an essay and have letters of recommendation to help my cause, let me know what you guys think!!!