What are my chances to transfer to Tamu

I’m currently a student at Tamucc and plan on transferring to Tamu as a Political Science major. I was wondering what my chances would be with a 3.05 GPA with 64 hours I know the minimum is 3.0. My GPA is low due to my freshman year I was a bio major and didn’t do so hot so I switched. My Political science GPA is 3.2 but the cumulative is still not where I wished it would be. So my question is what are my chances on getting in as a transfer, would my essay have to be better than great or do I have any hopes that they just look at my current major GPA rather than cumulative?