What are my Chances? UCSD, UCD

<p>Hey guys, i am current CCC student and want to transfer to either UCSD or UCD for computer science major. My current GPA is 3.51. I done with most of the pre-req courses for both schools and qualify for tag for both schools. UCSD requries to maintain a 3.5 GPA until the end of spring 2013 as part of the tag agreement. UCD on the other hand requires 3.2 for Computer science. If I do TAG with UCSD and end up doing bad in any of my classes it would revoke my TAG at UCSD. If i do tag with Davis and not mess up my gpa what would be my chance of getting in CS major at UCSD.(gpa around 3.5) without tag or should I take the risk and do the tag with UCSD? Also what are my chances of getting in UCD CS major with gpa around 3.5 without tag. Thanks for all the help.</p>