What are my chances?

A lot of these schools are a reach for you and I pretty much agree with what was said above I would just ask which state you are from because if you are from California, for example, some of those schools may become more attainable. Another example is UT. As a texan, UT is a fairly easy school to get in to especially with credentials like yours but out of state it is MUCH MUCH harder and would be a reach for you.