What are my chances?

UC Davis is one of my dream schools, so it would be great if I could get some insight on how likely I am to be admitted.

New SAT: 1500 (770M/730CR)
UC GPA Capped: 4.12
UC Weighted GPA (Uncapped): 4.19
UC Unweighted GPA: 3.81

Asian in-state male.
Major: Applied Math

Good extracurriculars and decent essays but that’s all subjective and a proper judgement can’t really be made on those.

Are there stats on what percentage of applicants in my GPA range get admitted?

Thanks!

UCD looks like a Match school. Best of luck.

Freshman admit rates for UC GPA of 3.80-4.19 (capped weighted) and not major specific:

UCB: 14%
UCLA: 14%
UCSD: 44%
UCSB: 54%
UCD: 58%
UCI: 65%
UCSC: 85%
UCR: 94%
UCM: 96%

25th - 75th percentiles for SAT:

UCB: 1280-1490

UCLA: 1280-1500
UCSD: 1250-1470
UCSB: 1290-1450
UCD: 1190-1430
UCI: 1190-1420
UCSC: 1170-1380
UCR: 1090-1310
UCM: 1020-1230

Thank you very much!

@Gumbymom what are your sources for the GPA stats? Care to attach a link? Also, I am positive that the 25th SAT for UCSB is 1210 and not 1290. Please correct that as you are misinforming people with false information.

Correction on UCSB SAT ranges:
25th - 75th percentiles for SAT:
UCB: 1280-1490
UCLA: 1280-1500
UCSD: 1250-1470
UCSB: 1210-1450
UCD: 1190-1430
UCI: 1190-1420
UCSC: 1170-1380
UCR: 1090-1310
UCM: 1020-1230