What are my chances

If you are a URM that will be a hook at many schools.

Agree these are all reaches, even for URMs. Plus, some of these schools are very different. Can you elucidate what you are looking for in a school, such as size, setting (urban/rural/suburban), vibe, etc?

What math class will you have senior year?

What is your budget…what can/will your family pay for college?