What are my chances

I don’t think your targets are targets, they are reaches for everyone.
Acceptance rates:
Rice - 11%
UCLA - 14%
Williams - 12%
Tufts - 15%
So my advice is to look for match and safety schools (financial too) that you would still be happy to attend and that are affordable. You are competitive for those schools but your chances are low, only because they reject qualified applicants all the time, and it shows in their acceptance rates. Good luck!